Updated: Sat, Sept 27, 2025 • 11:45 a.m. ET

Saturday AM Market Update — What Changed

• Favorite flips: None overnight; most key spreads held around 3/7.
• Tickets % drift: Small public tilts toward a few favorites; double-check early windows at noon ET for any late pushes.
• Totals: Light Under interest in a couple of early games; late window totals mostly steady.

Early Window — Public Betting Notes

• Commanders at Falcons — Tickets leaning ATL; spread steady (note if any juice change).
• Saints at Bills — Heavy public on BUF; total nudged up a tick overnight (confirm current board).
• Panthers at Patriots — NE tickets edge; total trimmed slightly (re-check 11 a.m. ET).
• Lions at Browns — Public on DET; watch for resistance near key numbers.
• Titans at Texans — Split tickets; Under interest persisted.
• Giants at Chargers — LAC tickets lead; total eased down again.

Late Window / Primetime — Public Betting Notes

• 49ers at Jaguars — Slight SF tickets edge; total up vs. opener, unchanged overnight.
• Rams at Colts — Total still up vs. open; side action balanced.
• Chiefs at Ravens — Buy/sell ping-pong around 3; tickets modestly to KC.
• Raiders at Bears — Bears remain slight tickets favorite; flip risk around PK persists.
• Packers at Cowboys (SNF) — Public on GB at current number; watch for +7/-6.5 pockets.
• Jets at Dolphins (MNF) — Tickets modestly toward MIA; total up a half-tick vs. open.
• Bengals at Broncos (MNF) — Slight lean to DEN; half-point drift held overnight.

Note: Lines move. Re-check tickets % and prices again before placing your wagers.

Looking for the most actionable NFL Week 4 public betting insights? Start with live
NFL public betting percentages, scan our NFL odds & previews hub, and don’t miss the Las Vegas SuperContest expert card. Below we pair opening vs. current lines with quick market reads so you can track where public betting trends matter most in Week 4.

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Week 4 Schedule & TV Windows — Public Betting Overview

• Thursday: Seahawks at Cardinals — 8:15 p.m.
• Sunday (London/Dublin): Vikings vs. Steelers (neutral) — 9:30 a.m.
• Sunday Early: Commanders at Falcons · Saints at Bills · Panthers at Patriots · Lions at Browns · Titans at Texans · Giants at Chargers
• Sunday Late: 49ers at Jaguars · Rams at Colts · Chiefs at Ravens · Raiders at Bears
• Sunday Night: Packers at Cowboys — 8:20 p.m.
• Monday Night (doubleheader): Jets at Dolphins — 7:15 p.m. · Bengals at Broncos — 8:15 p.m.

Opening vs. Current Odds — NFL Week 4 Public Betting Context

Snapshot as of Thur, Sept 25, 2025 (late morning ET). “Open” reflects early market openers; “Now” reflects the latest widely available number. Lines move — check again before you bet.

Thursday Night — Public Betting Watch

• Seahawks at Cardinals — Open: SEA -1.5, 44.5 • Now: SEA -2 to -2.5, 43.0 • Note: modest Seattle majority (~55–60%); gradual SEA support, total trimmed ~1.5 pts.

Since the morning pass: small trims to several totals (≈½–1 pt) and a few favorite ticks toward key numbers. Most ticket leans are steady; watch numbers near 3 on spreads and 44–45 on totals.

Sunday Early Window — Public Betting Trends & Moves

• Vikings vs. Steelers (neutral) — Open: MIN -1, 41.5 • Now: MIN -2.5, 41.5 • Note: support for MIN; total steady.
• Commanders at Falcons — Open: WSH -2.5, 46.0 • Now: ATL -1.5, 44.5 • Note: favorite flipped to ATL; total trimmed.
• Saints at Bills — Open: BUF -16.5, 47.5 • Now: BUF -16.5, 48.5 • Note: spread holding; total nudged up.
• Panthers at Patriots — Open: NE -4, 44.5 • Now: NE -5.5, 43.5 • Note: Pats support; total shaved.
• Lions at Browns — Open: DET -8, 45.5 • Now: DET -9.5, 44.5 • Note: pro-Lions push; total down.
• Titans at Texans — Open: HOU -7, 40.0 • Now: HOU -7, 38.5 • Note: spread steady; Under interest.
• Giants at Chargers — Open: LAC -5.5, 45.5 • Now: LAC -6, 43.5 • Note: Chargers tick up; total down.

Sunday Late Window — Public Betting Angle

• 49ers at Jaguars — Open: SF -4, 45.5 • Now: SF -3, 47.5 • Note: spread trimmed; Over money.
• Rams at Colts — Open: LAR -4, 47.0 • Now: LAR -3.5, 49.5 • Note: total up; slight buy on IND at +4.
• Chiefs at Ravens — Open: BAL -3, 48.5 • Now: BAL -2.5, 48.5 • Note: nibble on KC +3; total flat.
• Raiders at Bears — Open: LV -2, 47.5 • Now: CHI -1.5, 47.5 • Note: favorite flipped to Bears.

Sunday Night Football — Public Betting Check

• Packers at Cowboys — Open: GB -6.5, 48.5 • Now: DAL -7, 47.5 • Note: biggest flip of the week to Dallas -7; total eased down.

Monday Night Football (Doubleheader) — Public Betting Notes

• Jets at Dolphins — Open: MIA -2.5, 45.0 • Now: MIA -3, 45.5 • Note: incremental Miami buy.
• Bengals at Broncos — Open: DEN -7, 44.5 • Now: DEN -7.5, 44.5 • Note: half-point to Denver.

Market Reads & What to Watch — NFL Week 4 Public Betting

• Favorite flips: SEA→from +2.5 to -1.5; ATL→from +2.5 to -1.5; CHI→from +2 to -1.5; DAL→from +6.5 to -7. These flips often track early public/bettor sentiment; re-check limits on game day.
• Key numbers in play: BAL -2.5 (watch for -3 resistance), MIA -3 (buy/sell point), DEN -7/7.5 (teaser magnet), DAL -7 (seven is sticky).
• Total movement: Under interest in SEA–ARI and multiple early games; Over bumps in SF–JAX and LAR–IND.
• Action plan: Use the open→now deltas above with live public betting % to confirm or fade crowd moves, then set buy/sell points around 3 and 7.

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