Commanders at Chiefs pick — Current Odds
- Spread: KC −11 (−110) / WSH +11 (−110)
- Moneyline: KC −950 / WSH +600
- Total: 48.0 (−110)
- Kickoff: Mon, Oct 27 · 8:15 p.m. ET
Lines are current and may adjust on inactives or late limits. Always confirm your live board before wagering.
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Tempo & pace — how this likely plays
- Kansas City can start in quick game to blunt edge pressure, then accelerate into hurry-up if Washington shows soft zones.
- Washington’s path is clock control: early-down runs, screens to slow the rush, and long fields to shorten possessions.
Commanders at Chiefs pick — matchup levers
- Mahomes vs four-man heat: He crushes blitzes; efficiency dips when pressure arrives without extra rushers. Right-tackle protection is the swing point.
- Middle-of-field targets: Travis Kelce and RB outlets stress Washington’s linebackers; if chains keep moving, red-zone trips stack up.
Key injuries & availability
- Chiefs skill group intact; any late WR scratch would push targets toward TE and backs.
- Commanders’ front healthy; secondary depth dictates how often they can stay in two-high without busts.
Projected market moves
- Side: Books prefer to hold −11. If −10.5 pops, expect swift KC money; +11.5 invites sharp Washington buyback.
- Total: Toggle band 47.5–48.5 with weather neutral; inactives that thin either pass game could nudge Under.
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Commanders at Chiefs Prediction
Pick: Commanders +11 (−110). Lean: Under 48. Washington’s four-man rush can create third-down friction and preserve backdoor equity, while KC’s quick-game plan trims explosive variance. If you like Washington, grab +11 before any drift to +10.5; Under backers can wait for a public tick up.
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