Week 13 College Football Picks – Miami vs. South Florida

Last Updated on November 28, 2009 2:12 pm by drew

Rare Florida Rivalry

For just the second time, two in-state foes will meet on Saturday when South Florida hosts No. 19 Miami at 3:30PM ET from Raymond James Stadium.

Bet Miami at South Florida


Miami owns the only win in this series, a 27-7 victory in 2005. The Hurricanes are 8-3 this season and 5-6 against the point spread. The Hurricanes have won three of their last four but failed to cover in four of their last five.

South Florida is 7-3 this season and 3-5 against the spread. The Bulls have won two of their last three but failed to cover in four of their last five. USF has just one loss at home this season.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.com have made
Miami 5.5-point road favorites over
South Florida on Saturday night. The over/under total for this game has been established at 52.

Miami is scoring 31.7 points per-game thanks to Jacory Harris. Harris has thrown for 3,003 yards and 21 touchdowns, but also has 17 interceptions.
South Florida is giving up 19.4 points per-game on defense, and leads the Big East in passing defense with just 1,906 yards allowed through 11 games.

The Bulls are scoring 28 points per-game, but are relying on their rushing attack to lead the way. Quarterback B.J. Daniels has only thrown for 1,529 yards on the year, but rushed for 671 yards and six scores. The Hurricanes defense is giving up 23.5 points and 330.5 yards per-game, but holding opponents to just 116 yards rushing per-game.

This picks comes down to the quarterbacks. Both are prone to make mistakes and whichever one makes fewer will lead their team to victory on Saturday. Harris has shown more poise in the pocket for

Miami than Daniels for USF. The Bulls want to run and run with Daniels, but

Miami should be able to force Daniels to throw, where he struggles to move the Bulls down the field. Look for Harris to have a solid game while Daniels will underperform. We suggest a pick of the Hurricanes minus the points and the under.

Our College Football Week 13 Free Pick for this matchup is:

MIAMI -5.5 and UNDER 52.
College Football Week 13 Betting Trends
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Week 13 College Football Injury Report
MIAMI

[WR] 11/21/2009 – Thearon Collier "?" ( Ankle ) 

[RB] 11/21/2009 – Lee Chambers "?" ( Lower Body ) 

[DB] 11/21/2009 – Sam Shields "?" ( Undisclosed ) 

[DE] 09/05/2009 – Gavin Hardin out for season ( Neck ) 

[LB] 09/05/2009 – Shayon Green out for season ( Lower Body ) 

[DE] 08/21/2009 – Adewale Ojomo out for season ( Jaw ) 

[DL] 11/05/2009 – Dyron Dye out indefinitely ( Lower Body ) 

[S] 11/21/2009 – JoJo Nicolas out for season ( Shoulder ) 

[CB] 10/10/2009 – Ryan Hill out for season ( Shoulder ) 

[TE] 10/10/2009 – Richard Gordon out for season ( Shoulder ) 

[DT] 10/12/2009 – Marcus Forston out for season ( Ankle ) 

[LB] 10/13/2009 – Jordan Futch out for season ( Knee ) 

[FB] 11/21/2009 – Patrick Hill out indefinitely ( Ankle ) 

S FLORIDA

[CB] 11/11/2009 – Tyson Butler out for season ( Leg ) 

[K] 09/15/2009 – Maikon Bonani out for season ( Back ) 

(!)[QB] 09/20/2009 – Matt Grothe out for season ( Knee ) 

[DE] 11/21/2009 – Craig Marshall "?" ( Knee ) 

[RG] 11/21/2009 – Zach Hermann "?" ( Neck ) 
Miami at South Florida Odds
Miami Hurricanes -5.5 Over 52 (-235)

South Florida Bulls +5.5 Under 52 (+185)
Bet Miami at South Florida
Posted: 11/28/09 2:12PM ET