South Florida vs North Texas — Date, Time & TV
- Matchup: South Florida Bulls at North Texas Mean Green
- Date/Time: Friday, Oct 10, 2025 — 7:30 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Venue: DATCU Stadium (Denton, TX)
South Florida vs North Texas Odds — Open (Oct 6)
- Spread: South Florida −1 / North Texas +1
- Moneyline: South Florida −105 / North Texas −115
- Total: 66.5
- Notes: Market pinned near a pick’em with a mid-60s total; books are protecting the pivot at 1 and the total band 66–67.
Current Odds — Live Board
- Spread: South Florida −1 (−110) / North Texas +1 (−110)
- Moneyline: South Florida −105 / North Texas −115
- Total: 66.5
- Move (open → now): Holding around pick; any drift to USF −1.5 or UNT −1.5 will draw quick buyback.
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Public Betting & Line Movement
- Spread tickets: Slight majority leaning USF −1; money close to even with small swings on juice changes.
- Total tickets: Over interest typical at 66.5; sharper Under shows only at 67.5+.
- Read: Recreational bettors tend to chase whichever side flips to plus-money on the ML; pros aim for −1 or better with a reduced price.
Matchup & Availability
- USF: RB room healthy; WR depth gives YAC upside. Watch OL rotation notes Friday.
- North Texas: QB/WR continuity strong; secondary depth is the swing factor vs tempo.
- Edge: Explosives and finishing drives — whichever team wins the red zone likely wins the cover.
Key Numbers & Angles
- Side: Around pick to −1 is largely a moneyline decision — price shop ML vs spread juice.
- Total: 66.5 sits just under a cluster; Over buyers prefer ≤66.5, Under buyers want 67.5+.
- Derivatives: 1H Over often tracks these profiles if early drives avoid penalties/short FG stalls.
Expert Pick & Buy Points
Pick: South Florida ML (−105)
- Buy up to: −115 on ML or −1 at −110.
- If market flips: Take North Texas ML at plus money only (≥ +100) — avoid laying −115 if the pick’em toggles back.
- Total lean: Over 66.5 only with pre-kick tempo confirmation or live at ≤ 65.5.
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