Florida vs. Alabama 2009 Week 14 CFB Picks & Predictions

Last Updated on December 5, 2009 1:12 pm by drew

Florida-Alabama Pick

There isn’t much that needs to be said as No. 1
Florida and No. 2

Alabama meet in the 2009 SEC Championship Saturday at 4PM ET from the Georgia Dome.

Bet Florida vs. Alabama
The Gators are 12-0 on the season and 6-5 against the point spread odds. The Gators have covered in their last two games but failed to cover in games against tough defenses like
South Carolina and

Tennessee.

Alabama is 12-0 on the season and 7-4 against the spread. The Tide failed to cover in last week’s win at

Auburn, but covered in the two games prior.

Alabama has not been the underdog at all this season, but is against the Gators.
Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made
Florida 5.5-point favorites over

Alabama on Saturday night. The over/under total for this game has been established at 41.

Florid and

Alabama are seemingly equal in all stats. Both offenses are posting over 30 points per-game while having a strong running attack. Defensively, both are holding opponents to under 11 points and 235 yards per-game.

This game will come down to one or two plays that decide it.
Alabama’s Mark Ingram suffered a hip pointer in last week’s win over

Auburn, but quarterback Greg McElroy stepped up and gave Tide fans hope for the passing game.

Tim Tebow has won almost every big game he has played in, but this season his numbers have been underwhelming, and Saturday, he faces the best defense he will see all year.

With the point spread at 5.5 points, we suggest a pick of

Alabama with the under in a game where points will be hard to come by due to the talent of both defenses. This game will be a classic smash mouth contest, and with so much on the line, don’t expect either team to come out flat.

Our College Football Week 14 Free Pick for this matchup is:

ALABAMA +5.5 and UNDER 41.
College Football Week 14 Betting Trends
Top Trends for this game.

ALABAMA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

ALABAMA is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

FLORIDA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.

FLORIDA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

FLORIDA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

FLORIDA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

FLORIDA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

FLORIDA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

FLORIDA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus

ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons 

FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against

ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons 

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 

Week 14 College Football Injury Report


FLORIDA

[LB] 11/22/2009 – AJ Jones expected to miss Saturday vs.

Alabama ( Knee ) 

[RB] 11/30/2009 – Emmanuel Moody is upgraded to probable Saturday vs.

Alabama ( Ankle ) 

[DE] 12/01/2009 – Carlos Dunlap is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs.

Alabama ( Suspension ) 

[OL] 10/07/2009 – Matt Patchan out for season ( Knee ) 

[CB] 10/29/2009 – Moses Jenkins out indefinitely ( Concussion ) 

[LB] 11/10/2009 – Brandon Antwine out indefinitely ( Shoulder ) 

[TE] 09/14/2009 – Desmond Parks out for season ( Undisclosed ) 

[WR] 09/08/2009 – Andre DeBose out for season ( Hamstring ) 

[WR] 11/09/2009 – Carl Moore out indefinitely ( Back ) 

[LB] 11/10/2009 – Brendan Beal out indefinitely ( Neck ) 

[FS] 09/08/2009 – Dorian Munroe out for season ( Knee ) 

ALABAMA

(!)[RB] 11/29/2009 – Mark Ingram injured last game, probable Saturday vs.

Florida ( Hip ) 

[lb] 11/14/2009 –

Brandon Fanney Dismissed from team ( Disciplinary ) 

[LB] 11/14/2009 – Prince Hall Dismissed from team ( Disciplinary ) 

[WR] 12/02/2009 – Micheal Bowman out indefinitely ( Knee ) 

[RB] 12/02/2009 – Terry Grant is upgraded to probable Saturday vs.

Florida ( Abdominal ) 

[LB] 09/28/2009 – Dont’a Hightower out for season ( Knee ) 

[RB] 09/29/2009 – Jeramie Griffin out for season ( Knee )
Florida vs. Alabama Odds
Florida Gators -5.5 Over 41 (-220)

Alabama Crimson Tide +5.5 Under 41 (+180)
Bet Florida vs. Alabama
Posted: 12/5/09 2:12PM ET