2009 Nevada vs. Boise State Week 13 CFB Picks & Predictions

Last Updated on November 27, 2009 5:00 pm by drew

WAC Showdown

No. 6 Boise State faces its toughest challenge remaining in the WAC on Friday when the Broncos host Nevada for a 10PM ET kickoff from Bronco Stadium.

Bet Nevada at Boise State

Boise
State is 11-0 this season and 8-2 against the spread. The Broncos have covered in every game at Bronco Stadium this year. Trends show that
Boise
State has won the last nine meetings with

Nevada by an average of 51-20.

Nevada is 8-3 this season and 6-5 against the point spread odds. The Wolf Pack lost their first three games of the year but have bounced back with eight-straight wins.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SBGGLOBAL have made
Boise
State 14-point home favorites over

Nevada on Friday night. The over/under total for this game has been established at 71.

Nevada has the top rushing attack in the country behind three different 1,000 yards rushers. The Wolf Pack is posting 41.3 points and 534.2 yards per-game. Quarterback Colin Kaepernick has rushed for 1,129 yards and 16 touchdowns while throwing for 1,734 yards and 16 scores.

Boise
State has held opponents to just 17.3 points per-game and has limited opposing rushing attacks to 115 yards per-game.

Boise
State has the top scoring offense in the country at 44.4 points per-game. Kellen Moore has thrown for 2,791 yards and 33 touchdowns this season with just three interceptions.

Nevada is allowing 25.6 points per-game, but getting beat in the air for 286 yards per-game through the air.

The key in this pick is whether
Nevada can keep pace offensively with

Boise
State. The Wolf Pack will struggle against the Broncos defense, which is as good of a defense as

Nevada has seen all season. The Wolf Pack likely won’t be able to run the ball at will, which will force Kaepernick to pass, which looks to be his weakness. Look for
Boise
State to establish an early lead behind
Moore’s passing and then for the Broncos to keep

Nevada’s offense in check. We suggest a pick of

Boise
State minus the points with the under.

Our College Football Week 13 Free Pick for this matchup is:

BOISE
STATE -14 and UNDER 71.
College Football Week 13 Betting Trends
Top Trends for this game.

BOISE ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.

BOISE ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

BOISE ST is 56-28 ATS (+25.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

BOISE ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

BOISE ST is 54-30 ATS (+21.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

BOISE ST is 31-9 ATS (+21.1 Units) in November games since 1992.

BOISE ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

BOISE ST is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

BOISE ST is 31-11 ATS (+18.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

BOISE ST is 30-9 ATS (+20.1 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

BOISE ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.

BOISE ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite this season.

BOISE ST is 46-18 ATS (+26.2 Units) in home games since 1992.

BOISE ST is 46-18 ATS (+26.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

BOISE ST is 1-1 against the spread versus

NEVADA over the last 3 seasons 

BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against

NEVADA over the last 3 seasons 

2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 

Week 13 College Football Injury Report
NEVADA

[OT] 10/14/2009 – Mike Gallett out for season ( Suspension ) 

[S] 11/21/2009 – Duke Williams "?" ( Suspension ) 

BOISE ST

(!)[RB] 09/27/2009 – DJ Harper out for season ( Leg ) 

[RB] 09/12/2009 – Andy Silsby out for season ( ACL ) 

[C] 08/20/2009 – Cory Yriarte out for season ( Knee ) 

[DT] 11/20/2009 – JP Nisby "?" ( Knee ) 

[RB] 11/14/2009 – Matt Kaiserman is downgraded to out for season ( Leg ) 

[TE] 11/16/2009 – Richie Brockel out for season ( Foot )

Nevada at Boise State Odds                     

Nevada Wolfpack +14 Over 71 (+500)

Boise
State Broncos -14 Under 71 (-735)
Bet Nevada at Boise State
Posted: 11/27/09 5:00PM ET