2009 College Football Predictions Week 13: Arkansas vs. LSU Odds

Last Updated on November 28, 2009 4:06 pm by drew

SEC Clash

No. 17 LSU looks to bounce back from its loss last week to Ole Miss when the Tigers host Arkansas at 7PM ET on Saturday from Tiger Stadium.

Bet Arkansas at LSU
LSU is 8-3 this season and 5-5-1 against the point spread odds. The Tigers have los two of their last three, but have lost just once at home.

Arkansas is 7-4 this season and 6-4 against the point spread odds. The Razorbacks have won four straight games and covered in three straight.

Arkansas has lost just one time at home and won the last two meetings with the Tigers.
Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made LSU 3.5-point home favorites over

Arkansas on Saturday night. The over/under total for this game has been established at 53.5.

LSU has struggled offensively, producing just 24.8 points and 308 yards per-game this season. Jordan Jefferson has thrown for 1,785 yards with 14 touchdowns and just five interceptions, but the Tigers haven’t had a steady running game as their leading rusher is Charles Scott, who has 542 yards and four scores.

Arkansas is giving up 25 points and 408 yards per-game on the year defensively.

Arkansas has a very tough offense that is scoring 38 points per-game thanks to the play of quarterback Ryan Mallett. Mallett has thrown for 3,195 yards and 28 touchdowns with only six interceptions this year. LSU is holding opponents to 14.7 points per-game on defense this season.

The key in this pick will be LSU ability to stop the

Arkansas offense. LSU has small odds to cover because of its recent history with

Arkansas. LSU has the defense to contain Mallett, but Mallett also has the ability to blow up on LSU. The Tigers aren’t likely to score more than 28 points, so LSU has to keep Mallet in check. After a slightly embarrassing loss last week to Ole Miss where the Tigers showed poor clock management in the fourth quarter, we expect a motivated LSU team to play well and cover the small spread. We suggest a pick of LSU with the under in this game.

Our College Football Week 13 Free Pick for this matchup is: LSU -3.5 and UNDER 53.5.
College Football Week 13 Betting Trends
Top Trends for this game.

LSU is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) in home games since 1992.

LSU is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

LSU is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

LSU is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

LSU is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.

LSU is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

LSU is 7-27 ATS (-22.7 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.

LSU is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

LSU is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

ARKANSAS is 2-0 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons 

ARKANSAS is 2-0 straight up against LSU over the last 3 seasons 

2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 
Week 13 College Football Injury Report


ARKANSAS

[RB] 11/21/2009 – Michael Smith out for season ( Hamstring ) 

LSU

(!)[RB] 11/08/2009 – Charles Scott out for season ( Collarbone ) 

[RB] 09/13/2009 – Richard Murphy out for season ( Knee ) 
Arkansas at LSU Odds

Arkansas +3.5 Over 53.5 (+155)

LSU Tigers -3.5 Under 53.5 (-175)
Bet Arkansas at LSU
Posted: 11/28/09 4:06PM ET