North Carolina vs. Duke Prediction
Is Duke laying too many points to North Carolina on Saturday night? The two ACC teams will clash at 8:15 p.m. ET.
(613) North Carolina at (614) Duke
Saturday, March 3, 2018
Who Oddsmakers Like: Duke. According to oddsmakers from online sports book YouWager, the Blue Devils are 7-point home favorites to knock off the Tar Heels, who opened as 7.5-point road underdogs. The total, meanwhile, sits at 160 points after opening at 161.5 at most online sportsbooks.
Who Public Bettors Like: North Carolina. As of Saturday afternoon, the Tar Heels were receiving 76% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks. Meanwhile, 52% of the betting tickets wagered online were also on the over.
Who We Like: My first reaction upon seeing the line for this game was that Duke was laying way too many points to a North Carolina team that has won six of its last 10 games. Apparently the majority of public bettors feel the same way, making UNC a trendy dog. And I don’t like trendy dogs.
I see this game playing out the opposite of how the meeting in Chapel Hill went a few weeks ago, this time with Duke making a mad dash in the second half to pull away. The Blue Devils are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games, are a perfect 4-0 at the betting window in their last four home games, and are 5-1 ATS in their last six games coming off a loss. This feels like too many points but oddsmakers know what they’re doing. I’ll lay the wood in a revenge spot for Duke.
SATURDAY COLLEGE BASKETBALL PREDICTION: DUKE BLUE DEVILS -7