2025 Cook Out Southern 500 Odds, Picks & Preview (Darlington)

2025 Cook Out Southern 500 picks 2025 Cook Out Southern 500 picks

Last Updated on August 31, 2025 1:45 pm by admin_001

The 2025 Cook Out Southern 500 returns to Darlington Raceway on Sunday, August 31, opening the playoffs at NASCAR’s famed “Track Too Tough to Tame.” Expect long green-flag runs, brutal tire wear, and high-stakes strategy as contenders chase an early postseason statement. Below you’ll find current odds to win, our picks & predictions, key track and race details, last year’s winner, and a concise race-day weather outlook to guide your card.

Cook Out Southern 500 Race Info

  • Event: NASCAR Cup Series — Cook Out Southern 500 (Playoff Round of 16 opener)
  • Date / Time: Sunday, August 31, 2025 — 6:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: Darlington Raceway (Darlington, SC)
  • Broadcast: USA Network | Radio: MRN / SiriusXM NASCAR Radio
  • Distance: 367 laps / ~501 miles
  • Track Type: 1.366-mile asymmetrical oval (abrasive surface; long-run handling matters).

Track Fast Facts

  • Banking: ~25° (Turns 1–2), ~23° (Turns 3–4); ~3–5° on straights
  • Keys to Winning: Tire management, clean pit execution, late-run balance, track position

Last Year’s Winner (2024)

Chase Briscoe earned a statement victory in the 2024 Southern 500, sealing a playoff berth with long-run speed and clutch late-race execution.


Anticipated Weather — Summary

Warm and partly sunny afternoon trending to a mild, dry evening. Falling track temps after sunset should emphasize tire wear and long-run balance. Low rain risk.


Current Odds to Win — Cook Out Southern 500 (Bovada snapshot; subject to change)

  • Denny Hamlin +500
  • Kyle Larson +550
  • William Byron +650
  • Ryan Blaney +700
  • Tyler Reddick +700
  • Christopher Bell +1200
  • Chase Briscoe +1400
  • Joey Logano +1600
  • Bubba Wallace +2000
  • Chris Buescher +2000
  • Ross Chastain +2200
  • Brad Keselowski +2500
  • Chase Elliott +2500
  • Kyle Busch +2800
  • Josh Berry +3000
  • Ryan Preece +3300
  • Alex Bowman +4000
  • Austin Cindric +4000
  • Carson Hocevar +4000
  • Ty Gibbs +4000
  • Erik Jones +8000
  • Austin Dillon +15000
  • Daniel Suárez +20000
  • AJ Allmendinger +25000
  • Michael McDowell +25000
  • Noah Gragson +30000
  • Todd Gilliland +30000
  • John Hunter Nemechek +35000
  • Zane Smith +35000
  • Justin Haley +40000
  • Shane van Gisbergen +40000
  • Cole Custer +50000
  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +50000
  • Ty Dillon +75000
  • Riley Herbst +100000
  • Cody Ware +200000
  • Derek Kraus +300000
  • Josh Bilicki +300000

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Picks & Predictions

Top Picks

  • Kyle Larson (+550): Elite at Darlington; excels as the run stretches and others fade on tires.
  • Denny Hamlin (+500): Master of managing fall-off; repeatedly dangerous in crown-jewel night races.

Value Plays

  • Joey Logano (+1600): Track position flips + crisp pit work give him late-race leverage.
  • Bubba Wallace (+2000): Intermediate-track speed profile fits; clean day yields top-five equity.

Long-Shot Sprinkles

  • Erik Jones (+8000): Proven Darlington feel; right cautions could put him in the mix.
  • Michael McDowell (+25000): Overachieves on abrasive surfaces; pit timing + long-run steadiness are the path.

Live-Bet Angle

  • Prioritize cars whose lap times stabilize after 25–30 laps—that’s the signal for night-phase strength at Darlington.

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2025 Cook Out Southern 500 Snapshot

  • When/Where: Sun Aug 31, 20256:00 p.m. ET, Darlington Raceway (SC)
  • Layout/Distance: 1.366-mi oval; 367 laps / ~501 miles
  • 2024 Winner: Chase Briscoe
  • Weather: Warm start → cooler evening; low rain risk; tire wear elevated
  • Board Leaders: Hamlin, Larson, Byron
  • Value Targets: Logano, Wallace; Long-shots: Jones, McDowell.