Last Updated on August 13, 2025 11:22 pm by Anthony Rome
On Thursday, August 14, 2025, a mid-afternoon AL showdown at Oriole Park at Camden Yards pits the surging Mariners (67–53) against the struggling Orioles (53–66), with first pitch at 1:05 p.m. ET. What’s the best bet in tonight’s Mariners vs. Orioles matchup?
Mariners vs. Orioles Game Info
Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles
1:05 p.m. ET, Thursday, August 14, 2025
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Mariners vs. Orioles Public Betting & Odds
According to oddsmakers from online sportsbook Bovada.lv, the Mariners are -124 moneyline favorites to beat the Orioles, who are +113 underdogs. The total, meanwhile, sits at 9.5 runs.
As of this writing, our MLB Public Betting data page shows that the majority of public bettors are on the Mariners.
Pitching matchup:
Logan Evans (Seattle) enters with a 6–4 record and an ERA in the 4.3 to 4.9 range, depending on the source (FanDuel lists 4.96 ERA; numberFire and others quote 4.36 ERA). He’s been effective in recent outings and has tallied 57 strikeouts in 74.1 innings.
Tomoyuki Sugano (Baltimore) is enjoying a strong MLB debut, with a 9–5 record, a 4.24 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, and 80 strikeouts on the season. Sugano is known for inducing weak contact rather than piling up strikeouts, a formula that has worked so far.
Season trajectories:
The Mariners are in strong form, sitting atop the AL West and winning 10 of their last 11 games, showing power at the plate and sustained momentum.
The Orioles, conversely, are near the bottom of the AL East and continuing a rough patch, with managerial changes and a floundering offense defining the stretch.
Mariners vs. Orioles Betting Prediction
Seattle provides better overall form and offensive firepower, especially with power hitters like Cal Raleigh and Josh Naylor performing well. Evans’s road ERA (5.63) and modest All-Star break numbers suggest some vulnerability, particularly away from T-Mobile Park.
Sugano, while not overpowering, has been a dependable ace, particularly at home, and Baltimore is 8-3 when he pitches in Camden Yards with a 4.14 home ERA.
Expect a tightly-played, low-scoring contest, featuring crisp pitching and situational hitting. Betting trends skew slightly toward Seattle, but Sugano’s home comfort and the Orioles’ ballpark familiarity tighten margins.
In summary, Seattle holds the edge, but with Sugano on the mound and a tight bullpen, this is not an easy win. Expect a hard-fought game, likely swinging in favor of the Mariners by a narrow margin.
Mariners vs. Orioles MLB PREDICTION: SEATTLE MARINERS -124