The Los Angeles Dodgers arrive at loanDepot park on Saturday at 90-57 and in control of the National League West. The Miami Marlins have lost four straight and sit 14 games back in the NL East. Los Angeles is a clear road favorite, and nearly every ticket on this game is on the visitors. Yet the price has quietly drifted the other way since it opened. That gap is where both plays begin.
Last Updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins — Time & How to Watch
| Where | loanDepot park, Miami, Florida |
| When | Saturday, September 12 — 4:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | SportsNet LA and the Marlins’ local broadcast |
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The pitching matchup frames everything. Los Angeles hands the ball to right-hander Tyler Glasnow, who is 4-0 with a 3.12 ERA and 10.9 strikeouts per nine innings. Saturday is his fourth start since coming off the injured list on August 25. Over the first three he posted a 4.00 ERA with 21 strikeouts in 18 innings. He also went seven innings of one-run ball in Detroit on August 30.
Miami counters with right-hander Tyler Phillips, a very different profile. He is 5-6 with a 3.51 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP across 115.1 innings in 34 appearances, 17 of them starts. The run prevention has been respectable. The length has not. He has reached 90 pitches only twice this season and worked into the sixth inning just three times. In practice, Miami plans on five innings from its starter and four from a bullpen that pitched Friday.
Health fills in the rest. The Dodgers took the opener 6-2 on Friday, stretching Miami’s skid to four and dropping the Marlins to 72-76 and third in the NL East. Los Angeles is not whole either. Shohei Ohtani is on the injured list, which trims the top of a lineup that usually sets run expectation here. Full division standings and the official game preview carry the rest of the roster detail.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins Odds
| Run Line | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers | -1.5 (-110) | -193 | U 8.0 (-115) |
| Marlins | +1.5 (-110) | +158 | O 8.0 (-105) |
Odds accurate as of September 12, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest MLB Odds – Futures – Props
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Dodgers | 91% | 9% | Marlins |
See the latest MLB Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction — Is the Home Dog Live Here?
Start with the market, because it is unusually loud here. Run-line tickets are 91 percent on Los Angeles and moneyline tickets are 94 percent on Los Angeles. That is about as one-sided as a regular-season game gets. Yet the Dodgers first posted at -199 and now sit at -193, while Miami has shortened from +164 to +158. The number moved toward the unpopular side. The run line, meanwhile, has not budged from -110 on both teams.
Reverse line movement paired with a frozen run line is worth respecting. When nine of every ten tickets sit on one side and the price still drifts the other way, the handle and the ticket count are not on the same team. The baseball supports that read. Roughly 28 percent of big league games are decided by one run, which is why the run line sits at 1.5. loanDepot park suppresses scoring, and Los Angeles is without Ohtani.
The counter-case is real. Los Angeles is the road team, the better situation for a favorite laying -1.5, since road clubs bat in the ninth even when leading. Glasnow’s strikeout rate can shorten a cold Marlins lineup quickly. And handing four innings to a used bullpen is how a one-run game becomes a three-run game late. This is a lean on market signal and run environment, not a claim about the better team.
The Pick: Marlins Run Line +1.5 (-110)
Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction — Total too High in Miami?
The venue is the load-bearing input on the second play. loanDepot park carries a park factor around 97, among the friendlier environments in the sport for pitchers. It also ranks as the ninth-toughest park in baseball to hit a home run on a three-year rolling basis, a product of deep dimensions, generous foul territory and sea-level air. A total of 8 does not mean here what it means in a bandbox. Add a starter missing 10.9 batters per nine, and the under case builds itself.
Still, the market points the other way, and that deserves an honest hearing. The total opened at 7.5 with the over juiced to -120. It has since been bought up to 8, with the under now the -115 side. Money moved to the over. The consolation is the number. Backing the under today means taking 8 rather than the 7.5 at the open, a half-run of extra cushion. The live risk is Phillips’ short leash.
The Pick: Under 8.0 (-115)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
Both positions rest on the same read, and it is better to say so than to dress them up as independent. This projects as a lower-scoring, closer game than a 94 percent ticket split on a road favorite implies. If that read is right, the two bets win together. If Los Angeles breaks it open early, they lose together. Size accordingly.
Two things will tell you plenty early. The first is how deep Phillips is allowed to go. The second is Glasnow’s command. He walked six Marlins in 5.2 innings when these clubs met in late April, and traffic on the bases turns a strikeout arm into a short start. For more on this series, see our latest MLB picks coverage. No third angle stands on its own here, so we leave it at two. Picks recap: Marlins Run Line +1.5 (-110) and Under 8.0 (-115).
MLB Dodgers vs. Marlins FAQ: Saturday September 12, 2026
What time does the Dodgers vs. Marlins game start?
First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, September 12, 2026, which is 1:10 p.m. PT on the West Coast. This is the middle game of a three-game weekend series in Miami, with the finale set for Sunday, September 13.
What channel is the Dodgers vs. Marlins game on?
The game airs on SportsNet LA in the Los Angeles market and on the Marlins’ local broadcast in South Florida. There is no national television window for this matchup. Dodgers radio coverage runs on AM 570 in English and KTNQ 1020 AM in Spanish.
Who is pitching for the Dodgers today?
Right-hander Tyler Glasnow starts for Los Angeles. He is 4-0 with a 3.12 ERA and 10.9 strikeouts per nine innings in 2026, and this is his fourth start since coming off the injured list on August 25. Miami counters with right-hander Tyler Phillips.
Where are the Dodgers and Marlins playing today?
The game is at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida, the Marlins’ home ballpark. Los Angeles is the road team for all three games of this weekend series. The venue is one of the more run-suppressing environments in the major leagues, particularly for home run power.
Who won the last meeting between the Dodgers and Marlins?
Los Angeles won the series opener 6-2 at loanDepot park on Friday, September 11, 2026. The loss was Miami’s fourth in a row and moved the Marlins to 72-76. Los Angeles improved to 90-57 and leads the National League West.