[bimmercando]

Newsletter Tracking (through 10/12/2026)

Last Season’s Best & Worst
Gold Sheet NCAA Tech Plays (14-3-0)
Playbook Awesome Angle (17-6-1) (still hot (7-1) this season)
Power Sweep Tech Play of the Week (9-4-0)
Bondi 2* NFL (2-8-0)

Gridiron Gold Sheet
NCAA (23-7-0) (we didn’t get this one this week)
NFL (5-6-1)

Bondi Bulletin (not posted this week)
2* NCAA (3-1-0)
1* NCAA (6-6-0)
2* NFL (3-1-0)
1* NFL (4-4-0)

Marc Lawrence Playbook NCAA (this newsletter was 8-1 overall this week)
5* (5-1-0)
4* (4-2-0)
3* (1-5-0)
Upset pick (4-2-0)
Betcha Didn’t Know (4-1-0)
Awesome Angle (7-1-0)
Incredible Stat (2-1-0)

Marc Lawrence Playbook NFL
5* (4-1-0)
4* (3-2-0)
3* (2-3-0)

Pointwise NCAA (5-3 overall this week, 18-6 run the last 3 weeks)
1* (6-4-0)
2* (2-3-0)
3* (6-2-0)
4* (5-2-0)
5* (7-3-0)

Pointwise NFL
1* (0-0-0)
2* (0-1-0)
3* (4-1-0)
4* (5-5-0)
5* (5-4-0)

Power Sweep NCAA
4* (1-5-0)
3* (5-8-0)
2* (6-6-0)
Underdog Play of the Week (4-2-0)
Tech Play of the Week (3-1-0)
Revenge Play of the Week (4-1-1)
Situational Play of the Week (2-2-0)
Series Play of the Week (1-3-0)

Power Sweep NFL
4* (2-3-0)
3* (1-4-0)
2* (3-2-0)
3* o/u play (2-3-0)
Power Rating POW (0-0-0)

Power Plays
NCAA 4.5* (9-8-0)
NCAA 4* (19-21-0)
NFL 4* (5-0-0)

Red Sheet
90* (0-0-0)
89* (8-4-0)
88* (13-6-0)
NFL 88* (1-3-0)

King’s Totals Tipsheet
10* GOY (0-0-0)
3* (1-2-0)
2* (6-6-0)
1* (0-0-0)
Team Total of the Week
2* (1-7-0)
1* (2-0-0)

Gold Sheet NCAA
Key Releases (9-16-0)
Priority Picks (2-4-0)
Tech Plays (4-3-0)

Gold Sheet NFL
Key Releases (8-13-0)
Priority Picks (3-1-0)
Tech Plays (4-1-0)

Powers’ Ratings NCAA
Top Computer Play (4-2-0)

Inside the Press Box NCAA
Phil’s Best Bets (11-13-0)
Phil’s FCS Best Bets (4-2-0)
Computer Best Bets (8-14-1)
Computer FCS Best Bets (4-2-0)

Inside the Press Box NFL
Phil’s Best Bets (10-5-0)

Playbook NCAAF Early Games –

Wednesday, Oct 14

Kennesaw State over MISSOURI STATE by 8

It’s penthouse-to-outhouse time tonight as we leave Tuesday’s FIU-JSU game behind and focus on the dregs of Conference-USA. Both teams enter at 1-4 overall and 0-1 in league play, but Kennesaw State’s season has been especially baffling. While the defending CUSA champion Owls followed their 47-0 season-opening blowout of West Georgia with four consecutive defeats, the last two losses were heartbreakers: 17-14 to Arkansas State and 27-26 to Jacksonville State. The loss to Jax State came despite KSU piling up 411 yards of offense, the eighth-highest total in program history against an FBS opponent, including 293 passing yards – the seventh-best mark in school history. Interestingly, Kennesaw has scored at least 24 points in nine straight regular-season Conference USA games. Missouri State returns home for the first time since September 19 riding a three-game losing skein. The first two of those defeats were competitive efforts, losing by six points to Marshall and ten points to SMU, but last week’s drubbing at the hands of this-close-to-bad Western Kentucky was a 34-13 embarrassment. It’s hard to pass on a Homecoming dog, off a loss seeking revenge, but the number weight heavily in the Owls favor tonight, especially knowing the Bears are just 1-10 SU and 3-8 ATS in games they allowed 24-plus points since becoming an FBS commodity last season. We seal the deal with KSU’s 3-1 effort in nationally televised Weekday CUSA games, and 8-2 success in its last 10 October games. You know what to do.

Western Kentucky over SAM HOUSTON by 3

We’re all about offering support to the downtrodden, even if it requires heaping shame and scorn on a team to hasten their improvement. Last week, we previewed Western Kentucky’s game against Missouri State with these words: “Folks, there is bad, and then there is Hilltopper bad.” At 1-4 and losing the stats by more than -140 yards per game, WKU was badly in need of a lifeline. Turns out that the Toppers responded to our criticism, dropping a 34-13 hammer on Missouri State for their second straight home victory. Most impressive was the previously anemic WKU offense piling up 464 yards against the Bears – 233 rushing and 231 passing. It was the Hilltoppers’ first win with more rushing yards than passing yards since November 2023. No such luck for the 1-4 Bearkats, who return home tonight after being leveled by Liberty, 35-3. Full disclosure: Western Kentucky’s two wins have both come at home, and they are a dreadful 0-4 SU / ATS on the road so far. However, the Playbook Black Book points out the fact that they are 11-1 ATS as a dog of fewer than 8 points against a sub .666 opponent coming off loss. With the number currently hovering around a pick, we’ll let the line point us in the right direction here. Watch it closely.

Thursday, Oct 15

Georgia Southern over OLD DOMINION by 8

So long, CUSA. Hello to the Sun Belt, American, and Pac-12 conferences. Both teams enter tonight’s lid-lifter at 2-4; in other words, this clash becomes a ‘loser stays home’ affair as far as landing a bowl bid. Georgia Southern is 1-1 in Sun Belt play after a narrow 27-24 loss to unbeaten James Madison. Eagle QB Max Johnson, who has thrown at least three TD passes in three straight games, threw for a season-high 343 yards against the Dukes. Old Dominion is 1-2 in the league and comes off a gritty 10-3 win at Appalachian State. ODU held Appalachian State to 158 total yards, the second-lowest total ever allowed by a Monarch defense, as the Mountaineers managed just 60 yards in the first half and only nine yards in the second quarter. Thus, the stage is set for tonight’s ‘irresistible force meets immovable object’ game: a Monarch defense coming off a historic clampdown against a Max Johnson-led offense that appears to have found its rhythm. Old Dominion has recently owned the series, winning and covering three straight by an average win margin of 22 PPG. However, when push comes to shove, the MIDWEEK ALERT kindly reminds us the Big Birds are winning the stats an average +213 net yards per game this season, while the Monarchs are losing the stats by -57 net yards per game. And just like that – the fog has lifted…

UAB over East Carolina by 3

Tonight’s combatants won’t have to worry about an executive order demanding their league change its name… not when it’s already called the American Conference (well, Conference of America is still a possibility, though we don’t see it happening). East Carolina (3-2, 1-0 American) brings a three-game winning streak to Birmingham after beating Rice, 28-12, as the Owls managed just 86 first-half yards against ECU, and didn’t earn a first down until midway through the second quarter. UAB (3-3, 1-1) is coming off a 38-13 loss at Memphis, where the Blazers led at halftime before (gulp) giving up 28 unanswered points after the break. That sort of effort will never win friends, influence people, or cash a ticket. The most recent seven-game winning streak in this series belongs to ECU, which outscored UAB 282-154 across those meetings from 2007 through 2013. However, the fire-breathers have won all three games at Protective Stadium this season. A deeper dive tells us these two teams are about as close as can be this season with ECU winning the stats an average +24 net YPG compared to UAB’s average +19 net YPG. With that revelation, we’ll lean to the host in a Homecoming underdog role with the better history and current form.

TEXAS STATE over Colorado State by 21

We close out Thursday’s card by heeding the famous words of Mr. Manifest Destiny himself, newspaper editor Horace Greeley, who is credited with the famous 19th century American expression linked to westward expansion: “Go West, young man.” Tonight’s matchup may take place in San Marcos, Texas, but it’s a Pac-12 contest between two conference newbies. By now we’re sure you’ve heard of the current coaching turmoil taking place at CSU since DC Tyson Summers was relieved of his play-calling duties in the first half of a 56-26 loss to Oregon State, then permanently removed from the coaching staff by Jim L. Mora. The AP’s Pat Graham reports Mora’s concentration this week remains on fixing his defense, not the firing of an assistant coach, considering his Rams have dropped three straight, and the defense has been ripped for 493.2 yards per game (second-to-last in the Football Bowl Subdivision). But even with such poor play by a not-so-Ram-tough stop unit, an offense that churns out 37.4 points and 448.4 yards per game has the ability to turn every game into a track meet. CSU has gone OVER the total in all four games versus FBS opponents this season, and this week’s number is the highest yet, opening at 68 before being bet up to 71.5. Don’t forget, the powerful Bobcats bring the nation’s No. 3 overall offense into this game, averaging 532 net yards per game. In fact they have topped 500 yards in three straight games. In the 49-35 win over North Texas, Texas State and UNT each had exactly 605 yards. However, Texas State piled up 565 yards and still lost. The Bobcats had an FBS program record for total offense, 34 first downs to San Diego State’s 13, and nearly twice the Aztecs’ time of possession – but two interceptions helped swing the 31-29 result. For what it’s worth, the Aztecs get our vote for ‘Biggest Frauds of the Year’ thus far in college football (see more on them in the final game analysis on today’s card). Colorado State is breathing right down their necks: In their first two wins, the Rams allowed just 18.5 PPG allowed; their last three losses? 52 PPG. Folks, with TSU’s high-volume offense facing a leaky CSU defense that could use a liberal application of Phil Swift’s Flex-Seal, you don’t need a road map to find the right side of this game.

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