The Milwaukee Brewers held on for a 3-2 win in Game 1, and now the Tampa Bay Rays hand the ball to their ace with a chance to even the World Series. Milwaukee is a short home favorite at -121, while Tampa Bay sits at +101 with the total parked at 6.5. Our headline read leans on the pitching matchup, where the visitors may own the edge.
Last Updated: Saturday, October 24, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers — Time & How to Watch
| Where | American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin |
| When | Saturday, October 24, 2026 — 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
Game 2 features two right-handers with very different October résumés. Drew Rasmussen went 16-5 with a 2.67 ERA in the regular season, and he has been even sharper in the playoffs. He has allowed just three runs across three postseason starts and worked into the seventh inning each time. His ALDS opener against the Yankees was the highlight, as he carried a no-hit bid into the eighth inning of a 1-0 win. Notably, Milwaukee drafted Rasmussen and later traded him to Tampa Bay in the deal that sent Willy Adames to the Brewers.
Logan Henderson counters for Milwaukee. He went 11-3 with a 2.47 ERA during the regular season, so the surface numbers are strong. However, his October work has been shorter. He has thrown nine postseason innings over two starts. In NLCS Game 2 against the Dodgers, he allowed four runs (two earned) and failed to finish the fifth inning.
Milwaukee won a franchise-record 103 games, while Tampa Bay went 98-64. In Game 1, Christian Yelich tripled home the first run in the first inning. Jacob Misiorowski gave Milwaukee five innings of one-run ball, and the bullpen covered the final four. Tampa Bay is still without Shane McClanahan, who is out for the postseason. For more series context, see our World Series Game 1 prediction for Rays vs. Brewers.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
| Run Line | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | +1.5 (-230) | +101 | U 6.5 (-110) |
| Brewers | -1.5 (+190) | -121 | O 6.5 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of Saturday, October 24, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest MLB Odds – Futures – Props
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Rays | 33% | 67% | Brewers |
See the latest MLB Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Rays vs. Brewers Prediction — Is the Better Starter Getting a Coin-Flip Price?
The starting pitching matchup is the load-bearing signal here. Rasmussen has pitched deep into every October start, and that matters in a game where both bullpens have a say. Henderson has totaled just nine innings this postseason and did not get through the fifth in his last start. If that pattern holds, Milwaukee will need four or five innings from its relievers. That is a big ask the night after the bullpen covered the final four innings of Game 1. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay needed only three innings from its relief corps on Friday.
The price adds to the case. At +101, the Rays carry an implied win probability of roughly 50 percent. That is a fair number for a road team with the stronger starter. Milwaukee opened at -119 and sits at -121, a small shift toward the side that 53 percent of moneyline tickets are backing. That is a move with the public, so it carries little sharp signal in either direction.
Still, the case against Tampa Bay is real. Milwaukee has the better record, home field, and a lineup that produced enough timely hits to win Game 1. Henderson’s regular-season numbers suggest he can pitch well above his October sample. In addition, Milwaukee’s bullpen protected a one-run lead in the ninth on Friday. If Henderson finds his footing early, this becomes a tight, late-inning game where Milwaukee has thrived.
The Pick: Rays Moneyline (+101)
Rays vs. Brewers Prediction — Will Runs Stay Scarce Again?
Game 1 produced only five runs, and Game 2 sets up with an even better starter on one side. Rasmussen has allowed three runs in three playoff starts, and Henderson posted a 2.47 ERA over the regular season. A low total of 6.5 reflects that, but the run environment still points toward a low-scoring game.
On the other hand, the half-run matters. A 4-3 final would sink this play. A short Henderson outing could also open the door for Tampa Bay early. If Milwaukee’s heavily used relievers wobble, late runs could push this over. This is a lean rather than a strong play, since the market offers no confirmation either way. The total opened and remains at 6.5 with even juice on both sides.
The Pick: Under 6.5 (-110)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
We are passing on a third pick, since no additional angle stands on its own signals. Instead, watch Henderson’s pitch count through four innings. It will show how much Milwaukee’s bullpen must cover. In contrast, a quick, efficient Henderson start would swing the late innings back toward the Brewers’ strength.
The run line is worth one note. The public has backed Milwaukee on the run line by a 67-33 margin, yet the +190 price still requires a two-run win. A home favorite also faces walk-off math, since a ninth-inning win often lands by exactly one run. Here is a recap of our picks:
- Rays Moneyline (+101)
- Under 6.5 (-110)
MLB Rays vs. Brewers FAQ: Saturday October 24, 2026
What time does the Rays vs. Brewers game start?
Game 2 of the World Series between the Tampa Bay Rays and Milwaukee Brewers is scheduled to start at 8:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, October 24, 2026. It is the second of two at Milwaukee’s home park before the series shifts to St. Petersburg.
What channel is the Rays vs. Brewers game on?
The Rays vs. Brewers game airs nationally on FOX on Saturday, October 24, with first pitch set for 8:00 p.m. ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee. Full broadcast, streaming, and lineup details for the matchup are available in MLB.com’s Game 2 preview.
How can I stream the Rays vs. Brewers game?
You can stream Game 2 of the World Series between the Rays and Brewers on FOX One. The stream starts with the broadcast ahead of the 8:00 p.m. ET first pitch on Saturday, October 24. FOX One carries the same national FOX telecast that airs on television.
Who is pitching for the Rays and Brewers tonight?
Right-hander Drew Rasmussen starts for the Rays, and right-hander Logan Henderson starts for the Brewers. Rasmussen went 16-5 with a 2.67 ERA in the regular season. Henderson went 11-3 with a 2.47 ERA. Both have pitched in this postseason, with Rasmussen making three starts and Henderson two.
Who won the last meeting between the Rays and Brewers?
The Brewers won the last meeting, beating the Rays 3-2 in Game 1 of the World Series on Friday, October 23, at American Family Field. Christian Yelich tripled home the first run in the first inning. Tampa Bay loaded the bases in the ninth but could not complete the comeback.