Our Warriors vs. Suns prediction starts with who is missing. Golden State plays the second night of a back-to-back in Phoenix, one night after a home loss to Memphis. Its injury list is long, and its biggest name may sit. Meanwhile, the Phoenix Suns are 9.5-point favorites in their home opener. That number has climbed three points since it opened. Below, we work through availability, pace and the market move before landing on two picks.
Last Updated: October 24, 2026
Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Preview
Availability drives this game. After Friday’s 111-108 loss to Memphis, Stephen Curry said he would probably not play in Phoenix. He added that the medical staff would make the final call. He was not on the official injury report at the time of writing. That makes every read below provisional on his absence. Brandin Podziemski is also expected to miss the game with back soreness, according to ESPN. However, the official report still listed him as a game-time decision. Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody and Kristaps Porzingis are all out. Charles Bassey is a game-time decision with a knee issue.
Phoenix is healthier, though not whole. Mark Williams is out after left shoulder surgery, per the Suns injury report for Saturday. Oso Ighodaro and Luke Kennard are both uncertain. In contrast, Devin Booker is not on the report.
Neither team has started well. Golden State is 0-2 after a 127-105 loss to the Lakers and Friday’s collapse, when it blew a 12-point fourth-quarter lead at home. Our Grizzlies vs. Warriors prediction covered that matchup. Phoenix is 0-1 after a 124-83 loss in Portland. The Suns made only six threes and shot about 19 percent from deep. Booker did not attempt a single three. Still, one game is a tiny sample, and a shooting night that cold is close to random.
Ratings tell a cleaner story than raw scoring. Last season the Suns posted a 115.4 offensive rating and a 113.9 defensive rating, a net of plus-1.5. They played at 97.2 possessions per game, below the league average of 99.4. Golden State finished at 115.0 and 115.6, a net of minus-0.6, while playing a bit faster at 99.0. The Warriors also took nearly half their field-goal attempts from three.
This is an early regular-season Pacific Division game, so the standings carry little weight yet. Both teams sit 10th in the Western Conference. Two games of 2026-27 data are mostly noise. That is why last season’s ratings carry more weight here.
The schedule spot leans toward Phoenix. The Suns have had two days off since Wednesday. The Warriors arrive after a Friday night home game, and they visit Denver on Monday on the same trip. These teams last met in the play-in tournament in April. Phoenix won 111-96 to end the Warriors season.
Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | +9.5 (+100) | +330 | O 219.5 (-110) |
| Suns | -9.5 (-120) | -440 | U 219.5 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of October 24, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NBA Odds – Futures – Props
Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Warriors | 59% | 41% | Suns |
See the latest NBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Warriors vs. Suns Total Prediction — What Happens to Warriors Three-Point Volume Without Curry?
This total opened at 224.5 and now sits five points lower. That move fits the roster news. Remove Curry, Podziemski, Butler, Porzingis and Moody, and Golden State loses most of its proven shot creation. The Warriors built their offense on three-point volume last season. Without the player who generates it, the looks tend to come later in the clock and from less dangerous shooters.
Phoenix brings the pace to match. The Suns ranked below league average in possessions last season. Their defensive rating was nearly two points better than average as well. A lopsided game adds another layer. If Phoenix pulls away, both benches play the fourth quarter, and late possessions usually slow down. That garbage-time drag regularly pulls a total under.
The case against is real. Golden State’s defense has been poor through two games, with a 121.4 defensive rating. Meanwhile, the Suns’ 19 percent three-point night is unlikely to repeat. The Warriors have also reached the line at an above-average rate, which stops the clock. If Curry plays, this number is too low and the read is wrong. Golden State has also grabbed 34.7 percent of its own misses through two games, and second chances add points. The price is a standard -110, a 52.4 percent break-even. Still, the five-point drop means the best of this number is already gone, so treat it as a lean rather than a strong edge.
Our Prediction: Under 219.5 (-110)
Warriors vs. Suns Best Bet — Does a Blown 12-Point Lead Linger on a Back-to-Back?
The spread tells the same story from the other side. Phoenix opened as a 6.5-point favorite and now lays 9.5. That happened while 59 percent of spread bets backed Golden State. A line moving against the majority of tickets is reverse line movement. Here, it lines up with the injury news rather than fighting it. The heavier money sits on the side the roster supports. The moneyline shows how far the market has traveled. Phoenix opened at -245 and now sits at -440. That price implies a win probability of roughly 81.5 percent, which leaves little value on the Suns to win outright. The spread is the cleaner way to express a Phoenix read.
The situational spot adds weight. Golden State gave away a late lead at home on Friday, then traveled for a second game in two nights. Phoenix has had two days to answer a 41-point loss, and its home crowd gets a first look. However, a near-double-digit NBA spread asks a lot. This Warriors group led Memphis by 12 in the fourth quarter, so it can compete. The price also carries a 54.5 percent break-even. Both picks rest on the same input, Curry sitting, so they are not independent plays.
Tonights Golden State vs Phoenix Best Bet is: Suns -9.5 (-120)
Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns — Time and How to Watch
| Where | Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix Arizona |
| When | October 24 – 10:00 PM ET |
| TV | NBA TV |
Our Final Word on Warriors vs. Suns
Saturday’s handicap hinges on one confirmation. If Curry sits as he suggested, Golden State brings a thin rotation into a rested building. Both the total and the spread have already moved the way that roster implies. If he plays, both reads weaken sharply, so check the final injury report before tip-off. Golden State’s season has turned quickly since our Warriors vs. Lakers prediction on opening night.
The Under 219.5 (-110) is our top play because Phoenix’s slow pace meets a Warriors team missing most of its shot creation. Suns -9.5 (-120) is the second pick, backed by reverse line movement and a rested team facing an opponent on a back-to-back.
NBA Warriors vs. Suns FAQ: October 24, 2026
What time does the Warriors vs. Suns game start?
The Warriors vs. Suns game tips off at 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, October 24, 2026. That is 7:00 PM local time in Phoenix. The game is the Suns’ home opener and the second night of a back-to-back for Golden State, which hosted Memphis on Friday night.
What channel is the Warriors vs. Suns game on?
The Warriors vs. Suns game airs nationally on NBA TV. Local broadcast options differ in the Bay Area and in Arizona, so check your regional provider for the local listing. Tip-off is set for 10:00 PM ET from Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix.
Where are the Warriors and Suns playing?
The Warriors and Suns play at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, Arizona. It is the Suns’ first home game of the season after they opened on the road in Portland on Wednesday. Golden State arrives after hosting Memphis at Chase Center on Friday night.
What is the Warriors’ record this season?
The Warriors are 0-2 this season. They lost 127-105 to the Lakers in Los Angeles on October 21, then fell 111-108 to Memphis at home on October 23 after leading by 12 in the fourth quarter. The Suns enter Saturday at 0-1 after a 124-83 loss in Portland.
Who won the last meeting between the Warriors and Suns?
Phoenix won the last meeting 111-96 in the play-in tournament on April 17, 2026, in Phoenix. The win ended Golden State’s season and sent the Suns into the playoffs. Saturday is the first meeting between the two teams this season.