Our Grizzlies vs Warriors prediction starts with two rosters that look very little like last season’s. Memphis arrives at Chase Center at 1-0 after Ty Jerome scored 45 points against Utah. Golden State opens its home schedule at 0-1 after a 22-point loss to the Lakers. The Warriors are 3-point favorites with a 234.5 total, and both teams carry injury questions toward tip-off. Below, we work through availability, the schedule spot and the matchup inside before landing on two plays.
Last Updated: October 23, 2026
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors — Date, Time & How to Watch
| Where | Chase Center, San Francisco CA |
| When | October 23 – 10:00 PM ET |
| TV | NBC Sports Bay Area, DAZN |
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
Availability shapes this number more than anything else. Golden State is without Jimmy Butler III (torn right ACL), Moses Moody (left patellar tendon) and Kristaps Porziņģis (illness). Brandin Podziemski (back) and Charles Bassey (knee) were listed as questionable on Thursday after both sat out the opener. For Memphis, Cedric Coward is doubtful with a wrist injury, and Isaiah Stewart is questionable with an ankle injury after missing Wednesday. Those tags came from Thursday’s report, so this read is provisional until the game-day designations are final.
The schedule matters too. This is Golden State’s home opener, but the Warriors play at Phoenix on Saturday, which makes tonight the first leg of a back-to-back. Memphis last played Wednesday and is not on a back-to-back. A team facing a second game in two nights may manage veteran minutes. However, Steve Kerr has announced no such plan.
One game is a tiny sample, but the openers were stark. Memphis posted a net rating near +19 in a 123-103 win, as Jerome shot 17 of 25 for a career-best 45 points. Golden State’s net rating sat near -22 in a 127-105 loss. The Warriors went 8 of 36 from three and committed 16 turnovers. Their three-point volume is real, while that percentage is mostly noise.
Last season offers a larger baseline, with caveats. Memphis played at the seventh-fastest pace in the league, about 101.3 possessions per 48 minutes, yet ranked 24th in defensive rating at 118.8. Golden State played slower, at 99.0, with an offensive rating of 115.0 and a defensive rating of 115.6. Both rosters have since turned over. Memphis traded Ja Morant to Portland for Jerami Grant and Kris Murray, and rookie Cameron Boozer now starts up front. Meanwhile, Golden State swept last season’s series 3-0 and has won five straight meetings. Our Warriors vs. Lakers prediction covered how this Warriors rotation looked entering the opener.
The total tells its own story. It opened at 235.5 and has slipped a single point, a small move that shows little conviction either way. Pace points toward possessions, since Memphis ran at a top-ten tempo last season and the Warriors attempted more threes than any team. On the other hand, both sides are missing rotation pieces, and Golden State scored just 105 points in its opener. For reference, last season’s three meetings produced combined scores of 249, 227 and 245.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | +3.0 (-110) | +125 | O 234.5 (-110) |
| Warriors | -3.0 (-110) | -145 | U 234.5 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of October 23, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NBA Odds – Futures – Props
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Grizzlies | 52% | 48% | Warriors |
See the latest NBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Grizzlies vs. Warriors Prediction — Home Opener Tonight, Phoenix Tomorrow
The side read starts with who is left in the Warriors’ rotation. Without Butler, Moody and Porziņģis, Golden State leaned on Brandon Williams, Gary Payton II and Will Richard in Los Angeles. Two-way players Graham Ike and LJ Cryer also logged real minutes. Stephen Curry scored 16 of his 23 points in the first quarter, then managed just three after halftime. That leaves a thin margin for a favorite, especially on the front end of a back-to-back.
The market has drifted the same way. The spread has come down a half-point from where it opened. The Golden State moneyline has also eased, from -150 at the open to its current price. Spread tickets are close to even, with 52% on Memphis. So this is not reverse line movement. Still, a move toward the underdog without a lopsided crowd behind it is mild confirmation. The best of the number is gone, because the open was the sharper price.
The case against Memphis is serious. Golden State has won eight straight home meetings in this series, according to the team’s game notes. Memphis finished 25-57 last season, and Coward’s likely absence removes a starting wing. Jerome is also unlikely to repeat a 45-point night on 68% shooting. If Podziemski returns and the Warriors hit a normal share of their threes, they can win by margin. Even so, a short number is a useful cushion against a short-handed favorite.
The Pick: Grizzlies +3.0 (-110)
Grizzlies vs. Warriors Prediction — What Walker Kessler’s 12-for-12 Night Exposed
Walker Kessler went 12 of 12 from the field against Golden State on Wednesday, finishing with 26 points and nine rebounds. The Warriors’ interior options are thin. Porziņģis is out, Bassey is questionable, and Al Horford played about 17 minutes in the opener. That leaves Draymond Green and rookie Yaxel Lendeborg giving up size against a true center for long stretches.
Zach Edey fits that gap. He grabbed nine rebounds in just 21 minutes against Utah, with the blowout limiting his workload, and Memphis won the glass 55-38. Last season he averaged 11.1 rebounds in 25.8 minutes, although that came in only 11 games. Golden State also shoots threes at volume, ranking first in attempts last season, and long misses create extra chances for a center near the rim. The posted price requires a hit rate of roughly 55.6% to break even.
The risk is minutes. As a rookie, Edey averaged 8.3 rebounds in 21.5 minutes, and Kerr can play small to pull him away from the basket. Foul trouble or Stewart’s return could also trim his floor time. In addition, this read and the side share one input, Golden State’s missing frontcourt, so they are not fully independent.
The Pick: Zach Edey To Record 10+ Rebounds (-125)
Our Final Word on Grizzlies vs. Warriors
Golden State has the series history and a home crowd on its side. However, its rotation is short, and the schedule turns quickly with Phoenix waiting. Memphis brings size and a faster pace, which gives both plays a clear path if the injury report holds. Check the final designations for Podziemski, Coward and Stewart before tip-off, since any of them could shift the number.
Grizzlies +3.0 (-110) is the stronger play, built on a Warriors rotation missing three regulars on the first night of a back-to-back. Zach Edey To Record 10+ Rebounds (-125) follows, backed by a Golden State frontcourt that just let Walker Kessler control the paint.
NBA Grizzlies vs. Warriors FAQ: October 23, 2026
What time does the Grizzlies vs. Warriors game start?
The Grizzlies vs. Warriors game tips off at 10:00 p.m. ET on Friday, October 23, 2026, which is 7:00 p.m. local time in San Francisco. It is Golden State’s home opener at Chase Center and the second regular-season game for both teams after their Wednesday openers.
What channel is the Grizzlies vs. Warriors game on?
The game airs on NBC Sports Bay Area in the Warriors’ home market, while the Grizzlies’ broadcast is on DAZN for fans in the Memphis market. Viewers should check local listings for availability in their area, since regional broadcast rights determine which feed is carried where.
Is Jimmy Butler playing tonight?
No. Jimmy Butler III is out for the Warriors as he recovers from a torn right ACL, and he is not projected back before January at the earliest. Golden State is also without Moses Moody and Kristaps Porziņģis, which leaves the rotation thin for the home opener against Memphis.
Who won the last meeting between the Grizzlies and Warriors?
Golden State won the last meeting 133-112 at Memphis on February 25, 2026. That result completed a 3-0 sweep of last season’s series, after the Warriors also won 131-118 on October 27 and 114-113 on February 9, both at Chase Center. Golden State has won five straight meetings.
What are the Grizzlies’ and Warriors’ records this season?
Memphis is 1-0 after a 123-103 home win over Utah on Wednesday, when Ty Jerome scored a career-high 45 points. Golden State is 0-1 after a 127-105 loss to the Lakers in Los Angeles the same night. Both teams are playing their second game of the season.