The Philadelphia Eagles cross the Atlantic as clear underdogs, and the number tells the story of a brutal week. Jacksonville is an eight-point favorite with the total down to 41.5 for this International Series meeting at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. That is a sharp reversal from the lookahead line, which made Philadelphia a short favorite when this game first hit the board in May. Three projected offensive line starters are gone, Saquon Barkley is out, and the Jaguars own the NFL’s second-stingiest scoring defense. Two picks and a bonus angle follow, and it starts with one question about the size of the number.
Last Updated: Sunday, October 11, 2026
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Jacksonville Jaguars — Time & How to Watch
| Where | Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England |
| When | Sunday, October 11 – 9:30 AM ET |
| TV | NFL Network |
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Preview
Jacksonville arrives at 3-1 and alone atop the AFC South. The offense is averaging 26.0 points per game, but the defense is the identity. The Jaguars rank second in scoring defense at 13.3 points allowed, third against the run at 74.2 yards per game on 3.3 yards per carry, and second in red-zone defense. They lead the league with a plus-six turnover margin. Most striking of all, they have surrendered just nine first-half points in four games. Trevor Lawrence carries no injury designation and has thrown for 843 yards with eight touchdowns and two interceptions. Bhayshul Tuten leads the ground game with 277 yards, and Parker Washington leads the receivers with 228.
Philadelphia sits at 2-2, second in the NFC East, and the offense has gone backwards. The Eagles are scoring 18.8 points per game, 26th in the league. Their Week 4 loss to the Rams was the low point: 172 total yards and 0-for-12 on third down. Jalen Hurts appeared on the final injury report with a calf issue, but he practiced fully and carries no designation. The absences around him are the problem. Barkley (hamstring), DeVonta Smith (hamstring) and Hollywood Brown (ankle) are all ruled out, as are center Drew Kendall (knee) and safety Marcus Epps (groin).
The offensive line is the deeper wound. Lane Johnson retired abruptly this week, Cam Jurgens was traded to Baltimore, and Landon Dickerson is on injured reserve. Three of the five projected starters have a combined one career start. Will Shipley inherits the lead-back role with Dameon Pierce in support. The travel split matters too. Jacksonville landed Friday and practiced that afternoon at The Grove in Watford, while Philadelphia arrives inside 36 hours of kickoff. For context on how Jacksonville got here, see our Week 4 Jaguars breakdown.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | +8 (-115) | +295 | O 41.5 (-110) |
| Jaguars | -8 (-105) | -390 | U 41.5 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of Sunday, October 11, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NFL Odds – Futures – Props
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Jacksonville Jaguars — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Eagles | 44% | 56% | Jaguars |
See the latest NFL Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Eagles vs. Jaguars Prediction — Does the Market Have This Number Right?
The case for Jacksonville is easy to write. A top-three run defense gets a Philadelphia offense without its starting running back, its leading receiver and three offensive line starters. The Eagles managed 172 yards against the Rams and have not converted a third down in meaningful volume for two weeks. Philadelphia is also 0-4 against the spread, the worst mark in the league, while the Jaguars are 3-1 both straight up and against the number. Add the two-day acclimatization edge and the recipe for a comfortable home win is right there on the page.
The counterargument is the price. Eight points is a very large share of a 41.5 total. Jacksonville’s two blowout wins came against Cleveland and New England. Against the two opponents who could move the ball, the Jaguars lost by seven in Denver and won by five in Cincinnati. This is still an 18th-ranked total offense averaging under 200 passing yards per game, and Philadelphia’s defense is a middling 17th in points allowed rather than a sieve.
Public money sits 56-44 on Jacksonville, firm but short of a genuine fade threshold. This is not a contrarian play on sentiment. It is an argument that a defense-first script compresses margins, and that more than a touchdown and a half is a fair return on a team whose last three results were decided by four points or fewer. The risk is plain: if the Eagles cannot block, the number never matters.
The Pick: Eagles +8 (-115)
Eagles vs. Jaguars Prediction — Can Either Offense Get Going Before Lunchtime?
Start with what Jacksonville has actually done to opposing offenses. Nine first-half points allowed across four games is the best mark in football, and the Jaguars have held every opponent to three points or fewer before the break. They are fifth on third down defensively and second in the red zone, which is where drives go to die rather than turn into touchdowns. Philadelphia brings 18.8 points per game, a rebuilt line, and a skill group missing its top two healthy receivers. A 9:30 AM ET kickoff has not historically been kind to offensive rhythm either.
The honest pushback is that the number already reflects most of this. The total has fallen three points from its opening mark of 44.5, so the remaining edge is thin. Jacksonville also converts 51.1 percent of its third downs, third-best in the league. If the Jaguars run at a defense ranked 23rd against the rush and grind out two long touchdown drives, this gets uncomfortable quickly. The lean is toward attrition, not away from a competent attack.
The Pick: Under 41.5 (-110)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
The bonus angle is the moneyline. Philadelphia at +295 implies roughly a 25 percent chance of winning outright. In a game projected near 41 total points, where one turnover or a short field can settle it, that looks like a steep discount for a team that beat Washington and Tennessee in September. It is a smaller-stake extension of the same view behind the side, and it is correlated with it, so size it accordingly.
The broader read is that Jacksonville is the better and healthier team, and the market has already charged full price for it. These positions back the number rather than the narrative. If the patchwork Philadelphia line is overwhelmed early, all three are in trouble at once. For more of the Week 5 board, see our latest NFL picks coverage.
All picks in this article: Eagles +8 (-115), Under 41.5 (-110), and Eagles moneyline +295 as the bonus angle.
NFL Eagles vs. Jaguars FAQ: Sunday October 11, 2026
What time does the Eagles vs. Jaguars game start?
Kickoff is 9:30 AM ET on Sunday, October 11, 2026. The early window is standard for the NFL’s International Series games in London, which are scheduled to suit both UK and US afternoon audiences. That makes it the first game of the Week 5 Sunday slate.
What channel is the Eagles vs. Jaguars game on?
The game is broadcast on NFL Network. It is an exclusive national window rather than a regional CBS or FOX assignment, so viewers in both Philadelphia and Jacksonville get the same feed. Coverage begins ahead of the 9:30 AM ET kickoff.
Where are the Eagles and Jaguars playing?
The game is at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England. Jacksonville is the designated home team despite the neutral location. It is the Jaguars’ fourth appearance at the Tottenham venue, and they play again in London the following weekend at Wembley Stadium.
Who is starting at quarterback for the Eagles and Jaguars?
Jalen Hurts starts for Philadelphia and Trevor Lawrence starts for Jacksonville. Hurts was added to the final injury report with a calf issue but practiced fully and carries no game designation. Lawrence does not appear on the injury report at all and has thrown eight touchdowns against two interceptions.
Where do the Eagles and Jaguars stand in their divisions?
Jacksonville is 3-1 and in first place in the AFC South, one game clear of Indianapolis. Philadelphia is 2-2 and second in the NFC East, behind the 3-1 New York Giants. Both teams are still inside the playoff picture a quarter of the way through the season.