The 2026 Hollywood Casino 400 odds open race week with Kyle Larson on top of the board at +450, and the Kansas Speedway market is compressed at the front. Larson arrives one point clear of Denny Hamlin in the standings, and the two are barely separated on the outright board too. Sunday is the fourth race of NASCAR’s 10-race Chase.
Last Updated: Wednesday, September 23, 2026
2026 Hollywood Casino 400 — Time & How to Watch
| Where | Kansas Speedway, Kansas City, KS |
| When | Sunday, September 27 – 3:00 PM ET |
| TV | USA Network |
2026 Hollywood Casino 400 Betting Preview
Kansas Speedway is a 1.5-mile asphalt tri-oval, and the race runs 267 laps for 400.5 miles. Stage 1 ends on lap 80 and Stage 2 on lap 165, leaving a 102-lap final stage where tire fall-off and track position decide things. Goodyear brings the same tires the Cup Series ran here in the spring.
Recent history explains the tight top of the board. Chase Elliott won last year’s Hollywood Casino 400 by 0.069 seconds over Hamlin, the second-closest finish in track history. Tyler Reddick won the spring 2026 race in overtime, edging Larson by 0.118 seconds. Two straight photo finishes is not a track separating its best cars.
Race week carries three storylines. Joey Logano won at Bristol for his third victory of 2026 and moved to third in points. Larson’s runner-up run pushed him past Hamlin into the standings lead for the first time since late June. And Bristol ended with Ryan Blaney and Carson Hocevar trading punches on pit road after contact put Blaney into the wall — NASCAR issued no penalties. Blaney fell to sixth in points and sits at +1200 here. Our Bristol odds preview has last week’s board.
2026 Hollywood Casino 400 — Top Odds to Win
| Name | Odds |
|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | +450 |
| Denny Hamlin | +500 |
| Christopher Bell | +550 |
| Tyler Reddick | +650 |
| Ty Gibbs | +1000 |
| Chase Briscoe | +1200 |
| Ryan Blaney | +1200 |
| Bubba Wallace | +1600 |
| Chase Elliott | +1600 |
| William Byron | +1600 |
Odds accurate as of Wednesday, September 23, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NASCAR Odds – Props
Hollywood Casino 400 Odds Favorite: Kyle Larson
Larson is the shortest price at +450, and the market’s case is mostly a Kansas case. He is a three-time winner here, leads all drivers in laps led at the track in the NextGen era with 577, and owns a 5.8 average finish over that span. He was 0.118 seconds from winning in April, and he won at World Wide Technology Raceway two weeks ago.
The other side is worth spelling out. At +450 the implied probability is roughly 18 percent in a 36-car field, and Larson’s season has not been steady. His Gateway win ended a winless stretch that ran through the regular season, and the five races before the Chase produced finishes of 34th, 34th, 15th, 39th and 33rd. Three top-five runs have since turned the form.
Hamlin at +500 is why Larson’s price is not shorter. The 2026 regular-season champion has more Kansas wins than anyone in the field with four, in 2012, 2019, 2020 and 2023. He trails by a single point in the standings. The board is splitting hairs between the two drivers who own most of the Kansas record book.
Hollywood Casino 400 Mid-Board Contenders
Chase Elliott (+1600) is the defending winner of this race and carries the best average finish at Kansas in the field at 9.810. He is also 12th in Chase points, 117 behind Larson. That gap is the tell. The market is not disputing his Kansas record. It is pricing a season short on front-running speed.
Joey Logano (+2500) is the more curious price. He won at Bristol, sits third in the standings, and has three career Kansas wins, one fewer than Hamlin. The pushback is the shape of his 2026. All three wins this season came on short tracks, and Kansas opens a three-race intermediate stretch.
William Byron (+1600) sits level with Elliott and Bubba Wallace. He was ninth at Bristol and drives Hendrick Motorsports equipment that has produced 11 Kansas wins. His price splits the difference between that team record and a driver who has not been the sharpest Hendrick car this fall.
Hollywood Casino 400 Long Shots on the Board
Past the mid-board the prices get long quickly. Sixteen of the 36 entries are Chase drivers, and they occupy nearly the entire short half of the board. Shane van Gisbergen (+15000) is the clearest case of a price about track type rather than talent. The Trackhouse Racing driver has won in the Cup Series, but not in the intermediate package Kansas asks for. Michael McDowell (+15000) and Erik Jones (+20000) sit nearby for a simpler reason. Neither Spire Motorsports nor Legacy Motor Club has shown 1.5-mile speed this year.
Connor Zilisch (+25000) is running his rookie Cup season in the No. 88 for Trackhouse, and that is a rookie price at a track rewarding long-run knowledge. The true fliers sit beyond +35000, among back-half entries that have not run inside the top 10 on an intermediate track this season.
2026 Hollywood Casino 400 Odds: What to Watch
The defining feature of this board is how little separates the top four. Larson, Hamlin, Christopher Bell and Reddick are packed inside +650 across 36 cars, a narrow front for an intermediate track. That compression reflects Kansas itself, where the last two Cup races came down to an overtime pass and 0.069 seconds.
The next real input is qualifying. Cup practice is set for Saturday at 10 a.m. ET with qualifying at 11:10 a.m. ET, and the starting grid is the biggest piece of information the market is still missing. Expect prices to firm once the field is set, especially among the drivers bunched at +1200 and +1600 today.
The format matters too. There are no elimination rounds in 2026, so all 16 Chase drivers carry points through all 10 races and nobody faces a win-or-go-home race at Kansas. Our Enjoy Illinois 300 odds preview shows how this board looked two races back.
NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400 FAQ: Sunday September 27, 2026
Who is the favorite to win the Hollywood Casino 400?
Kyle Larson is the favorite at +450. He is a three-time Kansas Speedway winner, leads the NASCAR Cup Series standings by one point over Denny Hamlin, and finished second in the spring race at this track. Hamlin is next on the board at +500.
What time does the Hollywood Casino 400 start?
The Hollywood Casino 400 starts Sunday, September 27, 2026, with the green flag at 3:00 p.m. ET at Kansas Speedway in Kansas City, Kansas. Cup Series practice and qualifying run Saturday, September 26, at 10 a.m. and 11:10 a.m. ET.
What channel is the Hollywood Casino 400 on?
The Hollywood Casino 400 airs on USA Network. Radio coverage comes from the Motor Racing Network and its affiliates, with a simulcast on SiriusXM NASCAR Radio. The race is the fourth event of NASCAR’s 10-race Chase.
How many laps is the Hollywood Casino 400?
The Hollywood Casino 400 is 267 laps and 400.5 miles around the 1.5-mile Kansas Speedway tri-oval. It runs in three stages: Stage 1 ends on lap 80, Stage 2 ends on lap 165, and the final stage covers 102 laps.
Who won the Hollywood Casino 400 last year?
Chase Elliott won the 2025 Hollywood Casino 400 on September 28, 2025. He beat Denny Hamlin by 0.069 seconds in an overtime finish, the second-closest margin in Kansas Speedway history, with Christopher Bell third.
Who has the most Cup Series wins at Kansas Speedway?
Denny Hamlin leads all active drivers with four Cup Series wins at Kansas Speedway, in 2012, 2019, 2020 and 2023. Kyle Larson and Joey Logano are next with three apiece. Hendrick Motorsports leads all organizations with 11 Kansas wins.