WNBA Prediction Sept. 24 Fever vs Lynx: Will Indiana Cover the Spread?

WNBA Prediction Sept. 24 Fever vs Lynx: Will Indiana Cover the Spread? WNBA Prediction Sept. 24 Fever vs Lynx: Will Indiana Cover the Spread?

The Indiana Fever close the regular season in Minneapolis on Thursday night, and they do it as a road favorite against the team with the best record in the WNBA. Indiana is listed at -3 against the Minnesota Lynx, and that price says plenty about a Minnesota side that has already wrapped up the No. 1 seed. The Lynx have nothing left to chase. The Fever still do. Here is the number, the public split, and the two positions we like.

Last Updated: Thursday, September 24, 2026

Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx — Time & How to Watch

WhereTarget Center, Minneapolis MN
WhenThursday, September 24 – 8:00 PM ET
TVUSA Network

Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx Betting Preview

Indiana arrives at 28-15 and sitting fifth in the league standings. Minnesota is 32-11 and has already clinched the top seed for the postseason. The two met in Indianapolis on Tuesday, and the Fever handled them, winning 96-77 behind 27 points, nine assists and seven rebounds from Caitlin Clark. Indiana has now won four of its last five. Minnesota has dropped four of its last five, though the context behind that stretch matters more than the record.

That context is rest. Head coach Cheryl Reeve sat four Lynx starters for the entire second half on Tuesday, then explained that chasing wins two days before a playoff opener is a poor use of her roster. She added that seeding no longer concerns her, which is easier to say with the top seed already secured. Guard Olivia Miles was a late scratch Tuesday with a left calf injury and has carried a questionable tag since, with Reeve calling it day to day.

Indiana’s situation is different. Thursday’s result can still shift which opponent the Fever draw in the first round, so there is a live reason to compete. Kelsey Mitchell has also authored the season of her career, setting the league record for consecutive games with at least 20 points. Clark, Mitchell and Aliyah Boston combined for 64 points on Tuesday. For the market view of that game, see our Sept. 22 Lynx vs. Fever prediction.

Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx Odds

SpreadMoneylineTotal
Fever-3 (-115)-160U 183 (-110)
Lynx+3 (-105)+135O 183 (-110)

Odds accurate as of Thursday, September 24, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest WNBA OddsFuturesProps

Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx — Who Is the Public Betting?

Fever60%40%Lynx

See the latest WNBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!

Fever vs. Lynx Prediction — Do Lynx Have Anything to Play For?

Start with the line itself. Indiana opened at -3 with -115 juice and the number has not budged, and the total opened and sits at 183. That is a still market for a game with this much lineup uncertainty attached to it. Sixty percent of spread tickets are on the Fever and 65 percent of moneyline tickets are as well. That is a lean rather than a stampede, and it leaves the road favorite priced close to where it started.

The case for Indiana is the motivation gap. One team is playing to shape its bracket. The other has a coach who has said publicly she will not push her regulars two days before a playoff opener. That showed up on Tuesday, when the Fever built a 29-point cushion before Minnesota’s reserves trimmed it late.

The case against is straightforward. Minnesota is 32-11 for a reason, and Target Center has been a hard building. If Miles clears her calf issue and Napheesa Collier and Kayla McBride log normal minutes, a three-point line likely understates the home team. There is also a version where Indiana protects its own starters, which would flatten the edge quickly.

The Pick: Indiana Fever -3 (-115)

Fever vs. Lynx Prediction — Is Betting Total too High Tonight?

The total of 183 is a full number, and the two meetings between these teams this season landed on opposite sides of it. Minnesota won the August 2 meeting in Minneapolis 108-100, a 208-point game. Tuesday’s rematch went the other way at 173 combined, with the Lynx held to 77 while their reserves played the second half. Bench-heavy rotations generally produce less efficient offense, and Minnesota is the side most likely to run one again.

The counter is that Indiana plays quickly, and a reserve-laden Minnesota lineup can leak transition points. That is the path to a high-scoring night even with starters sitting. Still, the likelier shape is a game one side wants to win and the other wants to survive, and those tend to drag rather than race.

The Pick: Under 183 (-110)

Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle

There is a moneyline argument for anyone who does not want to lay the three, since a straight Indiana win is the same read without the cover requirement. The price at -160 asks for roughly 62 percent, a steeper ask than the spread on a night when either coach could pull regulars early. No alternate market here offers a cleaner edge, so we are not forcing a third play.

What would change the analysis is the pregame injury report. A confirmed return for Miles, or word that Reeve intends to play her starting five normal minutes, undercuts both positions. For the rest of the board, see our Dream vs. Liberty pick.

Both picks in one place: Indiana Fever -3 (-115) and Under 183 (-110).

WNBA Fever vs. Lynx FAQ: Thursday September 24, 2026

What time does the Fever vs. Lynx game start?

Tip-off is set for 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, September 24, 2026. It is the regular season finale for both clubs, and the WNBA playoffs open on Sunday, so this is the last scheduled action either team sees before the postseason bracket begins.

What channel is the Fever vs. Lynx game on?

The game airs nationally on USA Network. Indiana’s radio coverage runs on 93.5 and 107.5 The Fan, with John Nolan and Bria Goss on the call for the Fever broadcast. Full game details are listed on the league site, including the tip-off time.

Where are the Fever and Lynx playing today?

The game is at Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota, the Lynx home arena. Indiana is the road team for the second half of a two-game, three-day sequence between the clubs, having hosted Minnesota in Indianapolis on Tuesday night before the trip north.

Who won the last meeting between the Fever and Lynx?

Indiana won the last meeting 96-77 on Tuesday, September 22 in Indianapolis. Caitlin Clark posted 27 points, nine assists and seven rebounds, and Kelsey Mitchell added 20. Minnesota sat four starters for the entire second half with the playoffs approaching. Full recap here.

Where do the Fever and Lynx stand in the WNBA standings?

Minnesota is 32-11 and has clinched the No. 1 seed for the playoffs. Indiana is 28-15 and entered Thursday fifth in the standings. The Fever are already in the postseason field, but Thursday’s result can still affect which team they meet in the first round.