Wings vs Storm Prediction for Sept. 23: Will Seattle Put Up a Fight?

Wings vs Storm Prediction for Sept. 23: Will Seattle Put Up a Fight? Wings vs Storm Prediction for Sept. 23: Will Seattle Put Up a Fight?

The Dallas Wings close the regular season in Seattle on Wednesday night, and the market is treating the trip as a formality. Dallas sits at -9 on the road against a Storm team that has lost 18 of its last 20. The Wings need the result, too. At 26-17 they are in a tight scrap for playoff seeding. Still, this line has already drifted a half-point back toward Seattle since it opened, and that movement shapes both plays below.

Last Updated: Wednesday, September 23, 2026

Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm — Time & How to Watch

WhereClimate Pledge Arena, Seattle WA
WhenWednesday, September 23 – 10:00 PM ET
TVUSA Network

Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm Betting Preview

Dallas arrives at 26-17, seventh in the WNBA standings. The Wings are tied with New York and hold the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Liberty. Washington sits a half-game ahead at 26-16. This is not a throwaway night for the visitors. A win keeps Dallas in range of a better first-round draw.

The Wings got here on a six-game winning streak that ended Monday in Phoenix. Dallas led by 11 in the fourth quarter and lost 87-86. Paige Bueckers scored 30 in that game and has already set the franchise single-season scoring record with 853 points through 41 games, passing Arike Ogunbowale’s 2023 mark. Jessica Shepard added 17 points and 19 rebounds. Dallas averages 89.1 points and 34.7 rebounds per game.

Seattle is 8-35 and finishes last in the league. Those 35 losses are the most any team has taken in a WNBA season. The roster has been hollowed out, too. Ezi Magbegor is out for the year with a torn ACL suffered with Australia at the FIBA World Cup, and Katie Lou Samuelson is out after a left knee procedure. Dallas has its own absences, with Azzi Fudd out for the season and Alanna Smith sidelined by a leg injury, per the Associated Press game preview. The Storm still have pieces. Rookie Flau’jae Johnson scored a career-high 29 against Las Vegas on Sunday, and Dominique Malonga added 25 points and eight rebounds.

Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm Odds

SpreadMoneylineTotal
Wings-9 (-115)-470U 172 (-110)
Storm+9 (-105)+345O 172 (-110)

Odds accurate as of Wednesday, September 23, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest WNBA OddsFuturesProps

Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm — Who Is the Public Betting?

Wings59%41%Storm

See the latest WNBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!

Wings vs. Storm Prediction — Can Seattle Keep This One Close?

Start with the line itself. The game opened with Dallas laying 9.5 and now sits at 9. Meanwhile 59 percent of spread tickets are on the Wings, and the moneyline split is far more lopsided at 93 percent to 7 percent. The ticket count leans one way while the number has crept the other. That combination usually means the larger bets landed on the home side.

The spot supports that read. Dallas played Monday in Phoenix, blew a fourth-quarter lead, and now travels west for a 10:00 PM ET tip. Seattle is home in its final game of the year with a young core playing heavy minutes. Malonga and Johnson have both produced in that role this week. Late scoring from developing players is what shrinks a nine-point margin.

The case against is real, and it rests on the head-to-head file. Dallas has won all three meetings this season, including a 92-70 rout on August 23 in which Bueckers scored 32. The Wings also carry the stronger motivation, since seeding is on the line and Seattle is playing out the string. If Dallas treats this like an elimination game, nine points is not a large ask. Our read is that the price has already moved past fair value. More context sits in our latest Dallas betting coverage.

The Pick: Storm +9 (-105)

Wings vs. Storm Prediction — Is the Betting Total too High?

The total opened at 170.5 and has been bet up to 172. That move runs against the season-long numbers. Dallas averages 89.1 points per game and Seattle averages 82.0. Those add up to roughly 171, below the current number and before any adjustment for a depleted Seattle frontcourt. The Storm also shoot 42.2 percent from the field.

The other side is straightforward. Seattle allows 88.6 points per game, so the defense stops nobody. The Storm play quickly, and Dallas is comfortable in a track meet. If both teams trade possessions freely, this clears 172 without much drama. Still, the number asks for more scoring than either offense has produced on average all year.

The Pick: Under 172 (-110)

Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle

One more market wrinkle is worth noting, though it does not rise to a recommended play. Seattle’s moneyline sits at +345, an implied probability near 22 percent. That is a fair price for a home dog getting nine points, and only 7 percent of moneyline tickets are on the Storm. We would still rather take the points than chase an outright result against a team fighting for seeding.

The broader picture is a paper mismatch the number has already accounted for. Dallas should win. The question is whether a team coming off a deflating loss, on the road, at the end of a long season, covers nine against a home side with nothing to protect. Our recent Seattle Storm coverage tracks how the Storm have handled these spots. Both plays lean the same way, so size accordingly.

Recap of our picks for Wings vs. Storm: Storm +9 (-105) and Under 172 (-110).

WNBA Wings vs. Storm FAQ: Wednesday September 23, 2026

What time does the Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm game start?

Tip-off is set for 10:00 PM ET on Wednesday, September 23, 2026, which is 7:00 PM local time in Seattle. This is the final regular-season game on the schedule for both the Wings and the Storm, and it closes out the WNBA regular season calendar.

What channel is the Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm game on?

The game airs nationally on USA Network. It is one of the Storm’s national television dates this season, as listed on the team’s published 2026 national broadcast schedule. Local coverage in the Dallas-Fort Worth market is carried on KFAA 29.

Where are the Dallas Wings and Seattle Storm playing today?

The game is at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington, the Storm’s home building. Dallas is the road team for the regular-season finale. The Wings have already won all three prior meetings between the clubs this season, so Seattle is trying to avoid a series sweep at home.

Who won the last meeting between the Dallas Wings and Seattle Storm?

Dallas won the most recent meeting 92-70 on August 23. Paige Bueckers led the Wings with 32 points in that game. It was the third Dallas win in the season series, and the margin was the largest of the three. Wednesday’s game is the fourth and final meeting of the year.

Where do the Dallas Wings and Seattle Storm stand in the WNBA standings?

Dallas is 26-17 and holds seventh place in the league standings, tied with New York and a half-game behind Washington at 26-16. Seattle is 8-35 and finishes last in the league. The Storm were eliminated from playoff contention well before the final week.