Bills vs. Lions Free Pick
ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Lions are 7-point favorites over the visiting Bills while the over/under for this matchup is currently sitting at 43.5 points.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Lions opened as 7-point favorites and despite the Bills’ decision to bench E.J. Manuel for Orton, the line has not moved in this game. The total, meanwhile, is currently sitting at 43.5 points after opening at 45.5.
SEASON RECORDS: The Bills are 2-2 straight up this season and 2-2 against the spread heading into today’s game. The Lions are 3-1 straight up and 3-1 at the betting window, while the over is 4-0 in Buffalo’s first four games and the under is 3-1 in Detroit’s first four contests.
NFL FREE PICK: Take Buffalo. According to latest NFL trends, the Bills are 9-4 against the spread in their last 13 games following a straight up loss while the Lions are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win. Detroit is coming off a 24-17 victory over a mistake-prone Jets team on the road and is currently sitting in first place. With a bit of controversy surrounding Buffalo at the quarterback position, this is the perfect time for the Lions to be caught looking ahead. Matthew Stafford and the Lions should win today but take the points as Orton should move the offense significantly better than the limited Manuel.
2014 NFL WEEK 5 FREE PICK: BUFFALO BILLS +7