The Round of 16 knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup has begun. Morocco beat Canada 3-0 on Saturday to advance to the quarterfinals and France defeated Paraguay 1-0 in regulation. Fourteen teams are still alive at the time of this writing. July 5 is the twenty-fifth match day of the tournament and the second day of Round of 16 knockout stage play.
There are 2 Round of 16 knockout stage games on Sunday. Brazil faces off against Norway in the opener. Mexico plays England in Mexico City in the second and final game of the day.
Can Brazil win outright, cover the 0.5-goal spread, and advance to the quarterfinals against Norway? Will England score in regulation and cover the 0.5-goal spread as road favorites against Mexico?
Note: If a game is tied at the end of 90 minutes and stoppage time, it is technically ruled a "draw" for betting purposes. Additionally, spreads and totals only apply to the 90 minutes of regulation time and stoppage time unless specified.
I'll make game result picks for both of the day's contests, in addition to a bonus pick, below. Continue reading for our World Cup Best Bets July 5 article.
Brazil vs. Norway — Time & How to Watch
| Where | METLIFE STADIUM, EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ, USA |
| When | SUNDAY, JULY 5, 2026, 4 PM ET |
| Competition | 2026 FIFA WORLD CUP / KNOCKOUT STAGE / ROUND OF 16 |
| TV | FOX, FOX ONE, TELEMUNDO, FUBO |
Brazil vs. Norway Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRAZIL | -0.5 (-130) | -125 | O 2.5 (-135) |
| NORWAY | +0.5 (+100) | +330 | U 2.5 (+110) |
| DRAW | – | +275 | – |
Odds accurate as of Sunday, July 5, 2026, via TheSpread.com.
Brazil vs Norway Prediction July 5 Game Result Pick
Norway offers strong value to cover the 0.5-goal spread as underdogs against Brazil. The Vikings should play well enough to force a regulation draw or earn an outright win.
While Brazil is unbeaten, they looked vulnerable in the Round of 32, requiring a 95th-minute winner to escape Japan. Tactically Norway, manager Stale Solbakken will rely on Martin Odegaard to orchestrate counters, feeding Erling Haaland, who boasts 5 tournament goals.
Historically, Norway holds a stunning psychological edge: they have never lost to Brazil in 4 all-time meetings, including a famous 1998 World Cup upset. Expect Norway’s physicality and transition offense to keep this within a half-goal margin.
Pick: Norway +0.5 (+100)
Mexico vs. England — Time & How to Watch
| Where | ESTADIO BANORTE, MEXICO CITY, MEXICO |
| When | SUNDAY, JULY 5, 2026, 8 PM ET |
| Competition | 2026 FIFA WORLD CUP / KNOCKOUT STAGE / ROUND OF 16 |
| TV | FOX, FOX ONE, TELEMUNDO, FUBO |
Mexico vs. England Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEXICO | +0.5 (-170) | +215 | O 2.5 (+135) |
| ENGLAND | -0.5 (+135) | +140 | U 2.5 (-165) |
| DRAW | – | +220 | – |
Mexico vs England Prediction July 5 Game Result Pick
Mexico provides exceptional value to cover the +0.5 spread against England on Sunday night.
At over 7,300 feet above sea level in Mexico City's Estadio Azteca, El Tri commands one of sports' most grueling home-field advantages—remaining unbeaten in competitive home matches for 13 years.
Mexico manager Javier Aguirre’s relentless press anchors a stifling defense that hasn't conceded a single goal through 4 World Cup games. While England's Jude Bellingham and Harry Kane boast world-class talent, the altitude could lead to burning lungs and heavy legs late.
Expect Mexico’s defensive discipline and environmental edge to force a regulation draw or outright win, covering the spread of 0.5 goals.
Pick: Mexico +0.5 (-170)
World Cup Predictions July 5 Bonus Pick
For the Brazil vs. Norway game, the over on the total of 2.5 goals offers exceptional value to cash on Sunday.
Brazil’s defense looked highly vulnerable against Japan in the Round of 32, conceding 21 line-breaking passes over their backline. Where Japan lacked finishing, Norway counters with Erling Haaland—who enters with 5 tournament goals—and Alexander Sorloth. Norway manager Stale Solbakken will advise his players to aggressively exploit Brazil's defensive gaps with direct, over-the-top passes.
Conversely, Norway hasn't kept a clean sheet in their last 6 games, and Brazil’s elite attack, spearheaded by Vinícius Júnior, points toward offensive fireworks.
With both nations prioritizing lethal transition offense over defensive rigidity, this clash has all the makings of a shootout where both teams find the back of the net.
Bonus Pick: Brazil vs. Norway Over 2.5 (-135)
The Round of 16 is underway in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Are you new to soccer betting? See our how to bet on soccer guide.
Today's World Cup Predictions
- Norway +0.5 (+100)
- Bonus Pick: Brazil vs. Norway Over 2.5 (-135)
- Mexico +0.5 (-170)