Our Red Wings vs Oilers prediction comes with a goaltending puzzle on both benches. Edmonton hosts Detroit on Monday night with the Oilers favored at -175 on the moneyline and the total sitting at 6.5. The Oilers are 8-2-1 and score in bunches, but their starting goalie is on injured reserve. Detroit closes a four-game western trip with its own crease banged up. We break down the goalies, special teams and market movement before landing on two plays.
Last Updated: October 26, 2026
Detroit Red Wings vs. Edmonton Oilers — Game Info
| Where | Rogers Place, Edmonton Alberta |
| When | October 26 – 9:30 PM ET |
| TV | Sportsnet, Detroit SportsNet |
Detroit Red Wings vs. Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview
Start in the crease, because neither starter is confirmed. Edmonton placed Devon Levi on injured reserve before the weekend, and Levi is expected to miss a couple of weeks. Frederik Andersen is also out, so Tristan Jarry is the likely starter with Matt Tomkins recalled as his backup. Jarry carries a 3.73 goals-against average and was in net for Saturday’s 7-2 home loss to Toronto.
Detroit’s situation is murkier. John Gibson has an .867 save percentage and a 3.44 GAA. He left the Vancouver game with an upper-body injury, then returned to start in Calgary. Daniil Tarasov has been far better at .940 with a 1.40 GAA, but he is day-to-day with an undisclosed injury. If Tarasov is cleared, Detroit’s read improves sharply. Treat everything below as provisional until both starters are confirmed.
Form tells two different stories. Edmonton averages 4.36 goals per game, with Connor McDavid riding an 11-game point streak and 33 points. Leon Draisaitl has a league-leading 12 goals, nine of them during a six-game goal streak. However, the Oilers allow 3.55 goals per game and play without Mattias Ekholm, who is out with a concussion. Evan Bouchard has added 21 points from the blue line. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins returned last week and is back on the top power-play unit.
Detroit is 4-4-3 and just saw a six-game point streak end in a 4-1 loss at Calgary. The Flames went 2-for-2 on the power play that night. Alex DeBrincat leads the team with six goals and 12 points. Lucas Raymond has nine points, and former Oiler Viktor Arvidsson has eight. The Red Wings remain without forwards Marco Kasper and Mason Appleton. This is the first meeting of the season, and Edmonton won the last one 4-1 at Rogers Place in December.
The market has barely budged. Edmonton opened at -180 and now sits at -175, while the Detroit puck line moved from -160 to -163. Spread tickets are split almost evenly, so the small drift toward Detroit carries modest weight rather than a strong sharp signal. The total opened at 6.5 and has not moved. Both teams had Sunday off after Saturday games, so neither side holds a rest edge. History leans toward Edmonton, which is 6-1-2 in its last nine meetings with Detroit.
Detroit Red Wings vs. Edmonton Oilers Odds
| Puck Line | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Wings | +1.5 (-163) | +150 | O 6.5 (-120) |
| Oilers | -1.5 (+137) | -175 | U 6.5 (+100) |
Odds accurate as of October 26, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NHL Odds – Futures – Props
Detroit Red Wings vs. Edmonton Oilers — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Red Wings | 49% | 51% | Oilers |
See the latest NHL Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Red Wings vs. Oilers Prediction — How Much Does Levi’s Absence Matter?
Build this game from the goaltending out, and both creases point the same way. Jarry’s 3.73 GAA is the backstop for a team already allowing 3.55 goals per game. On the other end, Gibson owns an .867 save percentage and is playing through an upper-body issue. Neither projected starter has shown form that suppresses scoring.
Special teams add fuel. Edmonton entered last week ranked second in the NHL on the power play. Detroit’s penalty kill was operating below 70 percent before Calgary scored twice on two chances Saturday. The Red Wings also give opponents plenty of looks, having been shorthanded 36 times in their first 10 games. Meanwhile, the scoring history backs the read. Edmonton games have cleared 6.5 goals in seven of 11 tries, and Detroit games have done it in six of 11. Remember that this total includes overtime and the shootout, so a tie after 60 minutes adds at least one more goal.
The case against is real. Edmonton is shooting about 18.6 percent, the best rate in the league, and that pace will cool. Detroit has scored just 28 goals in 11 games, so the Red Wings must hold up their end. If Tarasov is cleared to start, his .940 save percentage changes this picture, and the number has not moved from its 6.5 open. The price already asks for 54.5 percent, so this is a lean built on goaltending rather than a market-confirmed play.
The Pick: Over 6.5 (-120)
Red Wings vs. Oilers Prediction — Does Detroit’s Shot Volume Finally Convert?
Edmonton’s record flatters its process. Through 10 games the Oilers had been outshot, 266 to 248, and were winning on finishing touch. Detroit is the reverse. The Red Wings average roughly 30 shots per game but convert only about 9 percent. Against a goalie carrying a 3.73 GAA, that volume should travel. The market agrees slightly. Detroit’s price has shortened since the open while spread tickets sit near even at 49 percent and 51 percent.
The risk is Edmonton’s top end and the empty net. McDavid and Draisaitl can turn a one-goal game into a two-goal game in minutes, and a late extra-attacker goal is always live. The Oilers are also 4-0-2 in their last six home meetings with Detroit. Still, two of those six went past regulation, and this full-game line includes overtime and the shootout. That protection matters for a team that already has three overtime losses this season.
The Pick: Red Wings +1.5 (-163)
Our Final Word on Red Wings vs. Oilers
Both plays lean on the same input, which is Detroit generating chances against a vulnerable Edmonton crease. The two picks pull in slightly different directions on how this ends, so be clear about it. An Oilers blowout cashes the over and loses the puck line. A tight 4-3 or 5-4 game cashes both. Goalie confirmations are the swing factor here. A Tarasov start would cool the total read and boost the Detroit side. Check the morning skate reports from both teams before betting. If Tomkins gets the call for Edmonton instead of Jarry, the over gains even more support. Compare these angles with our Red Wings vs. Flames preview and our Hurricanes vs. Oilers breakdown.
The Over 6.5 at -120 is our top play because neither projected starter has been sharp and Edmonton’s power play meets a leaky Detroit kill. The Red Wings +1.5 at -163 backs Detroit’s shot volume against a goalie carrying a 3.73 GAA, with overtime protection built into the line.
NHL Red Wings vs. Oilers FAQ: October 26, 2026
What time does the Red Wings vs. Oilers game start?
The Red Wings and Oilers face off at 9:30 PM Eastern Time on Monday, October 26, 2026. That is 7:30 PM local time in Edmonton. The game is the final stop on Detroit’s four-game western road trip and the fourth game of Edmonton’s five-game homestand.
Where are the Red Wings and Oilers playing?
The game is at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta, the home arena of the Oilers. Edmonton is in the middle of a five-game homestand, while Detroit arrives after road stops in Seattle, Vancouver and Calgary to close its first extended trip of the season.
What are the Red Wings’ and Oilers’ records this season?
The Oilers are 8-2-1 with 17 points and sit first in the Pacific Division. The Red Wings are 4-4-3 with 11 points. Both teams lost their most recent game on Saturday, with Edmonton falling 7-2 to Toronto and Detroit losing 4-1 at Calgary.
Who won the last meeting between the Red Wings and Oilers?
Edmonton won the last meeting 4-1 at Rogers Place on December 11, 2025. Zach Hyman scored a hat trick and Connor McDavid added four assists. That December win came at Rogers Place, the same building hosting Monday’s game. This is the first meeting between the teams this season.
Is Mattias Ekholm playing tonight?
No, Mattias Ekholm is out for the Oilers with a concussion suffered on October 22 against Carolina. Edmonton recalled defenseman Shakir Mukhamadullin to help fill the spot on the blue line while Ekholm recovers. Forwards Jason Dickinson and Matt Savoie are also sidelined for Edmonton.