Predators vs Maple Leafs Prediction Today October 6, 2026

Predators vs Maple Leafs Prediction Today October 6, 2026 Predators vs Maple Leafs Prediction Today October 6, 2026

The Nashville Predators visit Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday night. Their opponent is a Toronto Maple Leafs team that has scored exactly two goals in each of its first three games. Toronto is a -155 moneyline favorite, and the total sits at 6.0 goals. The goaltending matchup frames this one, and two picks follow once the numbers are laid out.

Last Updated: October 6, 2026

Nashville Predators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs — Game Info

WhereScotiabank Arena, Toronto Ontario
WhenOctober 6 – 7:00 PM ET
TVTSN4, Scripps

Nashville Predators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

Goaltending is the first question, and neither start was confirmed as of Tuesday morning. Local Leafs coverage projects Sergei Bobrovsky to start for Toronto. He has opened 0-2-0 with a 3.06 goals-against average and an .887 save percentage. That follows an .877 save percentage with Florida last season, the worst mark of his career. Anthony Stolarz won his lone start, stopping 26 of 27 shots against the Islanders.

Nashville is expected to turn to Juuse Saros again. He has started both games and carries a .933 save percentage with a 2.03 goals-against average. Backup Justus Annunen is day-to-day, and Matt Murray was recalled to fill the backup role. Both starters remain projections until confirmations arrive, so every read below is provisional on them.

Toronto missed the playoffs last season at 32-36-14 and now sits 1-2-0, seventh in the Atlantic Division. All three games were one-goal results in regulation. The Leafs fell 3-2 to Montreal, beat the Islanders 2-1, then lost 3-2 to Ottawa on Saturday. Toronto has outshot opponents 83-80, so the process has been better than the record. Still, the finish has not arrived. Max Domi, Dakota Joshua and defenseman Cade Webber are all out. Kirill Marchenko, Auston Matthews and Jack Roslovic stayed together on the top line Monday. Gavin McKenna, John Tavares and William Nylander remained on the second unit.

Nashville finished 38-34-10 last season and is 1-1-0 this year, sixth in the Central Division. The Predators lost 3-1 to Minnesota, then edged Dallas 2-1 on Saturday. Both goals against Dallas came on the power play, from Steven Stamkos and Nils Hoglander. That points to a thin start at even strength. Nashville has been outshot 60-46 and is averaging 23 shots per game. Tuesday opens a three-game road trip through Toronto, Montreal and Ottawa, while Toronto closes a four-game homestand. Both teams arrive on two days of rest.

Special teams lean Nashville’s way on paper. The Predators are 2-for-7 on the power play. Toronto is 2-for-11 with the man advantage but has not allowed a power-play goal. The teams split last season’s series. Toronto won 7-4 in October, and Nashville took a 5-3 decision in December. Our Senators vs. Maple Leafs preview covered Toronto’s last outing in more detail.

Nashville Predators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

Puck LineMoneylineTotal
Predators+1.5 (-198)+133O 6.0 (-105)
Maple Leafs-1.5 (+168)-155U 6.0 (-115)

Odds accurate as of October 6, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NHL Odds – Futures – Props

Nashville Predators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs — Who Is the Public Betting?

Predators71%29%Maple Leafs

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Predators vs. Maple Leafs Prediction — Can Toronto Get Past Two Goals?

Five games into the season between these two clubs, not one has produced more than five total goals. Toronto’s three games finished with five, three and five. Nashville’s two finished with four and three. That works out to 4.0 goals per game, while games across the league are averaging just over six. The Leafs have scored exactly two goals every night, and Nashville is averaging 1.5.

The goaltending supports a low number if the projections hold. Saros has stopped 56 of the 60 shots he has faced. Nashville’s attack has generated little volume, and Toronto’s penalty kill has not been beaten. The number itself also matters. A finish on exactly six goals is a push rather than a loss. Keep in mind that this full-game total counts overtime and the shootout, so a tie after 60 minutes adds at least one more goal.

The case against is real. Bobrovsky’s numbers over the last season and a half are poor. Toronto’s games averaged well over six goals last season, and the two meetings produced 11 and eight goals. Five games is a small sample, and new lineups often score more once they settle. Empty-net goals late in a one-goal game can also tip a tight finish. The market offers no confirmation either. The under price has drifted from -117 to -115 since the open, a slight move toward the over. This is a lean built on current form rather than a strong play.

The Pick: Under 6.0 Total (-115)

The side comes down to the crease. Saros owns a .933 save percentage through two starts, while Bobrovsky sits at .887 and 0-2-0. Toronto’s offense has not bailed him out, managing two goals in every game. At +133, Nashville needs to win about 42.9% of the time to break even. A goaltending edge in a low-event game can clear that bar, though only narrowly.

The case for Toronto is strong, and the edge here is thin. The Leafs have outshot their opponents, while Nashville has been outshot by seven per game. Toronto is also at home. Meanwhile, the moneyline has not moved from its opening price. The puck line did shift toward Nashville +1.5, from -180 to -198. However, 71% of puck line tickets sit on that side, so the move follows the public and carries little signal. If Stolarz starts instead, the goaltending gap narrows. This pick and the under both rest on Saros, so they are not independent.

Special teams add a second layer to the Nashville case. The Predators have converted two of seven power plays, and both goals in the win over Dallas came with the man advantage. Toronto’s discipline was a problem on Saturday, when penalties in the third period stalled its push against Ottawa. If the Leafs keep handing Nashville power plays, Saros needs only a modest night from the offense. Toronto’s perfect penalty kill is the counterweight, and it has held up through three games.

The Pick: Predators Moneyline (+133)

Our Final Word on Predators vs. Maple Leafs

This matchup pits a Toronto attack stuck on two goals against a Nashville team leaning on Saros and its power play. The goaltending confirmations later in the day are the key input for both plays, so check them before puck drop. Toronto’s shot share is the main risk to the side. A Stolarz start would weaken the Nashville read more than the total, since the low-scoring trend has held with both Toronto goaltenders in net.

The Under 6.0 Total at -115 is the top play, because neither team has seen a game go above five goals this season. The Predators Moneyline at +133 is the second pick, built on Saros’ .933 save percentage against Bobrovsky’s .887.

NHL Predators vs. Maple Leafs FAQ: October 6, 2026

What time does the Predators vs. Maple Leafs game start?

The Predators and Maple Leafs face off at 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, October 6, 2026, at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. It is the final game of Toronto’s four-game season-opening homestand and the first stop on a three-game road trip for Nashville.

What channel is the Predators vs. Maple Leafs game on?

The game airs on TSN4 in Canada and on Scripps in the Nashville market. Puck drop is set for 7:00 PM ET from Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. Viewers outside those two regions should check local listings, since out-of-market rights vary by broadcast package.

Who won the last meeting between the Predators and Maple Leafs?

Nashville won the last meeting 5-3 on December 20, 2025, in Nashville. Luke Evangelista broke a third-period tie, and the Predators scored three times in the final period. That result split the season series after Toronto won 7-4 at home in October 2025.

Where do the Predators and Maple Leafs stand in the standings?

Toronto is 1-2-0 and sits seventh in the Atlantic Division after three games. Nashville is 1-1-0 and sits sixth in the Central Division after two games. Both teams have two points, and every Toronto game so far has been decided by one goal.

Is Max Domi playing tonight?

No. Max Domi is out with a back injury and is on long-term injured reserve, so he will not play against Nashville. He has not dressed in any of Toronto’s first three games. Toronto is also without forward Dakota Joshua, who has an abdominal injury, and defenseman Cade Webber.