Last Updated on April 24, 2023 10:12 am by Anthony Rome
Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction
Even though the total for Game 4 of the NHL Conference Quarterfinals matchup between the Maple Leafs and Lightning is sitting at 6.5, will the over still cash on Monday night at 7:30 p.m. ET?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
035 Toronto Maple Leafs (-110) at 036 Tampa Bay Lightning (-110); o/u 6.5
7:30 p.m. ET, Monday, April 24, 2023
Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL
TV: TBS
Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Public Betting Information
As of this writing, our NHL Public Betting Page shows that 62% of bets are on the Lightning moneyline. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.
Toronto Maple Leafs DFS SPIN
William Nylander picked up an assist in Saturday’s 4-3 overtime win over Tampa Bay in Game 3. Nylander was all over the ice Saturday — he had seven of the Leafs 27 shots — but he couldn’t solve Andrei Vasilevskiy. Willie has points (two goals, two assists) in every game this postseason.
Tampa Bay Lightning DFS SPIN
Andrei Vasilevskiy made 23 saves in a 4-3 overtime loss to the Maple Leafs on Saturday in Game 3. Vasilevskiy has allowed 14 goals in the first three games of this series. And his save percentage through 10 career playoff games against the Maple Leafs has dropped to .874. The Leafs were outplayed most of Saturday’s game and Vasilevskiy was merely human. That’s a bad sign for the Lightning, who need him to be a superstar to win this series.
Maple Leafs vs. Lightning NHL Betting Trends
Favorite is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings
Maple Leafs are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings
Maple Leafs are 6-1 in their last 7 overall
Maple Leafs are 4-0 in their last 4 road games
Lightning are 42-18 in their last 60 home games
Lightning are 2-6 in their last 8 overall
Maple Leafs vs. Lightning NHL PLAYOFFS BETTING PREDICTION
The over is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings between these two teams and is a perfect 9-0 in the last nine meetings in Tampa, FL. The over is also 8-1 in the Maple Leafs’ last nine Conference Quarterfinals games, is 4-0 in their last four games versus Atlantic Division rivals and has hit in four of their last five games overall. On the other side, the over is 7-1 in the Lightning’s last eight games overall, is 8-1 in their last nine Conference Quarterfinals games and is 4-0 in their last four games when facing an opponent with a winning percentage above .600.
NHL PLAYOFFS BETTING PREDICTION: MAPLE LEAFS/LIGHTNING OVER 6.5