The St. Louis Blues visit the Ottawa Senators on Tuesday night at Canadian Tire Centre, and the price says this game is closer than the standings suggest. Ottawa sits at 5-1-0 and leads the Atlantic Division. St. Louis arrives 2-2-1 and seventh in the Central. Even so, the Senators are only -115 on the moneyline, with the Blues at -105 and the total set at 5.5. There is a reason the market refuses to lay more here. The analysis below works through it and lands on two bets.
Last Updated: October 13, 2026
St. Louis Blues vs. Ottawa Senators — Game Info
| Where | Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa Ontario |
| When | October 13 – 7:30 PM ET |
| TV | BN+ and STLNHL (U.S.), TSN5 and RDSI (Canada) |
St. Louis Blues vs. Ottawa Senators Betting Preview
St. Louis Blues vs. Ottawa Senators Odds
| Puck Line | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blues | +1.5 (-280) | -105 | O 5.5 (-122) |
| Senators | -1.5 (+230) | -115 | U 5.5 (+102) |
Odds accurate as of October 13, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NHL Odds – Futures – Props
St. Louis Blues vs. Ottawa Senators — Who Is the Public Betting?
| St. Louis Blues | 60% | 40% | Ottawa Senators |
See the latest NHL Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
The Ottawa Senators have won five of six and three in a row. They opened on the road with wins at Toronto and Boston, then lost 5-3 at Detroit. Home wins over Philadelphia and Nashville followed. On Monday they closed out a one-off trip with a 4-1 win at New Jersey, their sixth game in 10 days. Tim Stutzle has been the engine with 10 points in six games. Ottawa also wins faceoffs at a 53.1% clip, well clear of St. Louis at 45.3%. Only Carolina has more points in the league.
The St. Louis Blues look worse on paper. They have scored 2.80 goals per game and allowed 3.20. However, the underlying numbers tell a different story. St. Louis has controlled 52.8% of shot attempts at five-on-five, while Ottawa sits at 44.5%. Expected goals point the same direction. Ottawa’s results have run ahead of its process, and St. Louis’s have run behind it. Both samples are tiny, so treat the gap as a flag rather than a verdict.
Both blue lines are thin. Ottawa plays without Jake Sanderson, who is not expected to be available, and Artem Zub has yet to make his season debut. William Eklund is on injured reserve as well. St. Louis is missing Torey Krug for the season, plus Logan Mailloux and Tyler Tucker. Special teams split cleanly. Ottawa draws 4.83 power plays per game but converts at only 13.79%. St. Louis kills at 93.33% and draws just 2.20 power plays per game. The Blues also swept the two meetings last season, including a 2-1 win in Ottawa.
The market has moved toward the visitors since the open. Ottawa opened at -130 on the moneyline and now sits at -115, while St. Louis has gone from +110 to -105. Ottawa’s puck-line return has lengthened from +190 to +230. Meanwhile 60% of puck-line tickets sit on St. Louis, so the move has followed the ticket count rather than running against it. That is expected movement, not a sharp footprint. The total, by contrast, has not moved at all from its opening 5.5. The goal expectation looks settled. The side does not.
Blues vs. Senators Prediction — Ottawa’s Seventh Game in 11 Nights
Ottawa plays its seventh game in 11 nights here, and its second in two nights. The Senators were in Newark on Monday, won their game against New Jersey, and flew home afterward. Linus Ullmark has started five of Ottawa’s six games and has been excellent, posting a .948 save percentage and a 1.27 goals-against average. He is also the main reason this team is 5-1-0. Clubs rarely run a starter through both halves of a back-to-back in mid-October. Samuel Ersson has handled the backup work, and his .886 save percentage across two appearances is a different standard entirely.
St. Louis arrives rested. The Blues last played on Saturday and have had three days off. Joel Hofer has been the steadier of their two goaltenders, with a .930 save percentage, a 1.68 goals-against average and a shutout at Dallas. Jordan Binnington has worked at .847 over his two starts. The Blues also drive play better than their record suggests. They hold the better five-on-five shot-attempt share and the better expected-goal share. Their five-on-five save percentage of .894 is unlikely to stay that low for long.
The case against the visitors is real. Ottawa is 2-0-0 at home, wins faceoffs convincingly, and has allowed only two goals a game. St. Louis is 1-2-0 on the road, and two of those trips produced a 6-1 loss at Colorado and a 4-2 loss at Chicago. Tonight also opens a three-game road trip and a time-zone change. If Ullmark starts anyway, the goaltending edge flips and this read weakens considerably. Neither starter has been confirmed, so this is a provisional read until the teams announce.
The Pick: St. Louis Blues Moneyline (-105)
Blues vs. Senators Prediction — Ottawa Allows Two Goals a Game, For Now
Ottawa has allowed 12 goals in six games. That number is not built on structure. The Senators have been out-shot and out-attempted at five-on-five, and their five-on-five save percentage of .943 is the kind of figure that does not hold. Their combined on-ice shooting and save percentage sits at 104.3, well above the 100 baseline. Expected goals put Ottawa nearer three goals against per game than two. St. Louis sits on the other side of the same coin, scoring below what its chances suggest. Both numbers tend to drift back toward the middle.
Volume is the other input. Ottawa generates 4.83 power plays a game and takes 4.17 penalties, which is roughly nine special-teams situations a night. That is a high-event rhythm. In contrast, Ottawa converts at only 13.79% and St. Louis kills at 93.33%, which is the obvious counter. So is the opening number, which has not moved a cent. Five of Ottawa’s six games have also finished with five goals or fewer. Still, the full-game total includes overtime and the shootout. A team trailing late also pulls its goaltender, and one-goal games often become two-goal results. There is another Atlantic Division game on tonight’s board if you want a second look at the division.
The Pick: Over 5.5 (-122)
Our Final Word on Blues vs. Senators
Both plays lean on the same input, and that is worth saying plainly. If Linus Ullmark starts the second half of the back-to-back, the side and the total both get harder. Neither starter has been confirmed, so that is the single piece of news to check before puck drop. Ottawa also sits first in the Atlantic Division, and a 5-1-0 team at home is never a comfortable fade.
Taken together, the St. Louis Blues moneyline at -105 leads, because the rested Blues control play better than a 5-1-0 record suggests. The Over 5.5 at -122 follows, because Ottawa’s expected goals against runs close to a goal above what it has allowed.
NHL Blues vs. Senators FAQ: October 13, 2026
What time does the Blues vs. Senators game start?
Puck drop is 7:30 PM ET on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa. The game is the second half of a back-to-back for Ottawa, which played at New Jersey on Monday night. St. Louis last played on Saturday, October 10, so the Blues come in with three days of rest.
What channel is the Blues vs. Senators game on?
In Canada the game airs on TSN5, with French-language coverage on RDSI. In the United States it is carried regionally on BN+ and STLNHL. ESPN+ also carries the game nationally in the United States as part of its out-of-market package, so coverage depends on where you are watching from.
Where are the Blues and Senators playing?
The game is at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario, the Senators’ home arena. Ottawa is 2-0-0 at home this season, having beaten Philadelphia 2-1 on October 8 and Nashville 3-2 in a shootout on October 10. St. Louis won at this building last December.
What are the Blues and Senators records this season?
Ottawa is 5-1-0 with 10 points through six games, first in the Atlantic Division and second in the Eastern Conference. St. Louis is 2-2-1 with five points through five games, seventh in the Central Division. Carolina is the only club in the league carrying more points than Ottawa.
Who won the last meeting between the Blues and Senators?
St. Louis won the last meeting 2-1 in regulation at Canadian Tire Centre on December 6, 2025. The Blues also took the other game of that season series, 4-3 in St. Louis on November 28, 2025. Both games were decided by a single goal, and both finished inside 60 minutes.
Is Jake Sanderson playing tonight?
No. Sanderson is not expected to be available against St. Louis because of a lower-body injury. He has played one game this season, leaving the October 3 opener at Toronto after less than five minutes of ice time. Ottawa is also without defenseman Artem Zub, who has yet to debut.