Public Favors Colts
Who does the public like for Super Bowl XLIV between the New Orleans Saints and Indianapolis Colts? Let’s take a look.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.com currently list the Colts as a 4.5-point favorite over the Saints in the 2010 Super Bowl, while the over/under total is sitting at 56.5 points.
Of the 70,000-plus wagers that have been placed on Super Bowl XLIV, 57% of public bettors currently favor the Colts –4.5. This isn’t a shocking development, seeing as how the betting public usually sides with the favorite. In fact, we expect this number to rise as we get closer to kickoff, with more public money pouring in on the game come Sunday.
At the Las Vegas Hilton, the line opened at Colts -5.5 at just past 10:30PM ET on Championship Sunday. The line stayed at 5.5 through Monday, January 25, but the point spread dropped to Saints +5 during the afternoon of Tuesday, January 25. This could have been sharp money coming in on the Saints, or Vegas moving the line in attempts to get more even action on both sides. The line quickly went back up to Colts –5.5 to close out January 26, however.
On February 1, the line shot up another half point to Indianapolis –6, but the line then dropped back down to 5.5 to close out the day and dropped another half point between the 1st and the 4th of the month. Now the point spread is currently sitting at 4.5.
There are several intriguing trends for this game, including the Saints holding a 6-1 ATS record in their last seven games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. The Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a favorite of 3.5-10 points and 9-1-1 against the number in their last 11 games on grass.
Meanwhile, the Saints are 1-5 against the spread in their last six games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game and 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss. The Colts are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 6-2 ATS in their last eight playoff games.
To track public betting information here at theSpread.com, be sure to check out our NFL Public Betting page for all the latest information.
Super Bowl XLIV Betting Odds, Point Spreads & Over/Under Total:
101 New Orleans Saints +4.5 (+165 money line) Over 56.5
102 Indianapolis Colts –4.5 (-185 money line) Under 56.5
Posted: 2/7/10 4:00PM ET