Texans Jaguars odds headline a pivotal AFC South matchup in Week 3 as Houston heads to Jacksonville. We compare opening vs. current lines, live public betting splits, key injuries, weather, the trends that actually matter, our best bets—and a Same Game Parlay build. For more, visit our NFL hub and weekly SuperContest picks.
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Game Info & TV Coverage
- Date: Sunday, Sept. 21, 2025
- Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: EverBank Stadium — Jacksonville, FL
- TV / Streaming: CBS (regional); NFL+ for replay
Texans vs. Jaguars Odds & Market Read
Opening odds: Jaguars −1.5 · Total 44.0
Current odds: Jaguars −1.5 / Texans +1.5 · Total 44.0 · ML: JAX −125 / HOU +105
Movement: Holding steady near pick’em territory with Jacksonville a small home favorite. Expect books to defend the 1–2 band; +3 is unlikely without major injury news.
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Betting Splits & Line Dynamics
Public side: Slight lean to Jacksonville at the short number; sharp interest likely toggles around even money.
Resistance: Books comfortable between −1 and −2; totals traders eye mid-44 and under if defense dictates pace.
See live NFL public betting splits on our chart
Injury Watch & Weather
- Texans: OL health trending up; WR group stabilizing. Defense largely intact.
- Jaguars: Secondary nagged by minor dings; RB room healthy. Watch final Friday reports for CB rotations.
Weather: Low 80s, humid, light winds (<10 mph). Minimal impact beyond rotations and fatigue management.
NFL Betting Trends That Matter
- Texans as road dogs (recent seasons): Cover profile improves in low-spread games.
- Jaguars at home vs. division: Positive SU run; ATS swings with turnover margin.
- Totals 43–45 at EverBank: One explosive play or missed kick flips these bands; red-zone TD% is the decider.
Expert Picks & Best Bets
ATS Pick: Jaguars −1.5 (play to −2). Home efficiency + QB stability tip it.
Total Pick: Under 44.0 (play to 43.5). Expect conservative middle-quarter scripts and field goals.
Prop Pick: Jaguars RB rushing/receiving combo Over — usage in screen/RPO game vs. aggressive front.
Same Game Parlay Spotlight
Correlate home edge with modest scoring.
- Leg 1: Jaguars ML
- Leg 2: Under 46.5 (alt)
- Leg 3: Jaguars RB anytime TD
Estimated payout: +400 to +500 depending on shop.
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How to Watch & Stream
Kickoff 1:00 p.m. ET on CBS. Replays available via NFL+.
See more NFL odds and previews on our NFL homepage.
Trench play and red-zone TD% likely swing this. If +3 appears for Houston, the dog becomes more attractive; otherwise Jaguars at short numbers are the lean.
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