Patriots vs. Dolphins Total Pick
Will tonight’s Monday Night Football matchup between the New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins go over the betting total at 8:30 p.m. ET?
Matchup: Patriots (10-2) at Dolphins (5-7)
TV: ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET
Line: Patriots -10.5
ODDS: New England. According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Patriots are 10.5-point road favorites to beat the Dolphins, who opened as a 12-point home underdog. As for the total, the number currently sits at 48 points after hitting the board at 48.5.
PUBLIC BETTING: As of this writing, 76% of the betting tickets are on the Patriots to cover the spread while 75% of the money is also on New England.
INJURY REPORT: Rob Gronkowski has been suspended for this game after his antics last weekend in Buffalo. Kyle Van Noy (calf) is also out for the Patriots, while Chris Hogan is probable with a shoulder injury. Dion Lewis (illness) and LaAdrian Waddle (ankle) are questionable, while Stephon Gilmore (ankle) is probable.
For the Dolphins, William Hayes (knee), Ndamukong Suh (knee), and Mike Pouncey (hamstring) are all probable. That said, Jermon Bushrod (foot), JaWuan James (hamstring), and Nate Allen (calf) are all out. Damien Williams will also miss the game.
OUR PREDICTION: The over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between these two teams. The over is also 11-3 in the Patriots’ last 14 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game and 8-3 in their last 11 games coming off a win of more than 14 points.
On the other side, seven straight overs have cashed in Miami games. THe over is also 4-0 in the Dolphins’ last four home games, is 5-0 in their last five conference games, and is 8-2 in their last 10 contests on Monday night.
Tom Brady is going to tear up this Miami secondary. The Dolphins are allowing 24.8 points per game, which ranks 27th in the NFL. I am slightly concerned about the Dolphins generating enough points to contribute to the over, but they may not have to score much. New England will do most of the heavy lifting.
NFL WEEK 14 OVER/UNDER PREDICTION: PATRIOTS/DOLPHINS OVER 48