Broncos vs. Raiders Total Pick
Is the under a great play on Sunday afternoon when the Oakland Raiders will host the struggling Denver Broncos? This AFC West rivalry will kick off at 4:25 p.m. ET.
Matchup: Broncos (3-7) at Raiders (4-6)
TV: CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET
Line: Raiders -5
ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the over/under currently sits at 43.5 points after hitting the board at 44 earlier in the week. The Raiders, meanwhile, are 5-point home favorites versus the Broncos, who opened as a 4.5-point road underdog.
PUBLIC BETTING: As of this writing, the Raiders are receiving 70% of the tickets at the betting window.
KEY TRENDS: The favorite is 9-1-1 against the spread in the last 11 meetings between these two teams. That said, the Broncos are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games in Oakland and are 9-2-1 at the betting window in their last 12 games versus the Raiders overall.
OUR PREDICTION: In the last five meetings between these two teams, the under is 4-1. The under is also 4-0 in the Broncos’ last four games versus a team with a losing record, is 9-4 in their last 13 games coming off a loss, and is 9-4 in their last 13 games coming off an ATS loss. Their offense is also horrible and making the change to Paxton Lynch (who will start on Sunday) won’t help.
On the other side, the under is 5-1 in the Raiders’ last six games versus the AFC West and their offense is struggling as well. They mustered only 8 points last week in Mexico City against the Patriots despite having a bye week the Sunday prior. They can’t run the ball, Derek Carr has become a check-down artist and Amari Cooper can’t hang onto the ball. Both teams are a mess.
NFL WEEK 12 OVER/UNDER PREDICTION: BRONCOS/RAIDERS UNDER 43.5