Monday Night Football Free Pick
(The Spread) – NFC East rivals clash in Dallas tonight when the Cowboys host the Redskins at 8:30PM ET.
Odds: Oddsmakers currently list the Cowboys as 3.5-point home favorites against their NFC East counterparts, while the over/under total is sitting at 44.5 points. Dallas enters tonight with a 1-1 record while Washington is 2-0 on the year. This game marks the first home contest of the year for the Cowboys and the first road test for the Redskins.
Line Movement: Tony Romo’s injury status has played havoc with the line in this one. The Cowboys opened as 6.5-point favorites and despite Romo’s insistence that he’s going to play despite suffering a broken rib and a punctured lung in last Sunday’s win over the 49ers, the line has dropped to 3.5 at most online books. The over/under has also dropped from 46 to 44.5.
Public Betting: Of the 15,000-plus wagers on tonight’s game, 58% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Redskins +3.5. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date public betting numbers.
NFL Free Pick: Take Washington. Even though Romo is expected to play, how can he possibly be effective with a broken rib? He’ll wear a flak jacket tonight and could be severely limited in his throwing movements. Running back Felix Jones is also dealing with a separated shoulder, while receivers Dez Bryant and Miles Austin are also banged up. This is a game the Redskins could win outright, although as long as the line stays at 3.5 Washington is a true value. According to latest NFL trends, the Redskins are 4-0 against the spread in their last four road games against the Cowboys and 7-2 ATS in their last nine meetings with Dallas overall. The road team is also 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these two teams, while the underdog is 21-6 ATS in the last 27 meetings.
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL FREE PICK: WASHINGTON REDSKINS +3.5
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