Jets Buccaneers odds headline a key AFC–NFC showdown in Week 3 as New York visits Tampa Bay. We compare opening vs. current lines, live public betting splits, key injuries, weather, actionable trends, expert picks, and a Same Game Parlay build. For more coverage, see our NFL hub and weekly SuperContest picks.
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Game Info & TV Coverage
- Date: Sunday, Sept. 21, 2025
- Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Raymond James Stadium — Tampa, FL
- TV / Streaming: FOX regional; NFL+ for replay
Jets vs. Buccaneers Odds & Market Read
Opening odds (market): Buccaneers −6.5 to −7 · Total 44.5
Current odds (Bovada): Buccaneers −6.5 · Jets +6.5 · Total 43.5 · ML: TB −290 / NYJ +240
Movement: Tampa support pushed and held the spread at the key number; total ticked down from 44.5 → 43.5 on Under interest. Jets bettors should watch for a flat +7; Bucs backers avoid laying −7.5 if it pops late.
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Betting Splits & Line Dynamics
Public side: Majority tickets on Tampa at home around −6.5; sharper buyback tends to appear at +7 on New York.
Key resistance: Books defending the 6.5/7 band; totals traders leaning Under below 44.
See live NFL public betting splits on our chart
Injury Watch & Weather
- Jets: QB room banged up recently; watch final statuses and OL notes. Defense largely intact.
- Buccaneers: Secondary dinged; monitor final practice reports for CB/S rotations.
Weather: Low 80s, humid, light winds (<10 mph). Minimal impact beyond fatigue/rotation management.
NFL Betting Trends That Matter
- Jets as road dogs (recent seasons): defense tends to travel; live-dog profile near key numbers.
- Bucs at home vs. AFC: strong straight-up record the last few years; situational edge in early kick window.
- Totals & pace: Tampa home totals under 45 have skewed Under in recent samples; red-zone TD% is the swing factor.
Expert Picks & Best Bets
ATS Pick: Buccaneers −6.5 (avoid −7.5). Tampa’s trench edge and field position should create margin.
Total Pick: Under 43.5 (play to 43). Projection leans conservative scripts and FG-heavy drives.
Prop Pick: Tampa RB anytime TD (volume near goal line in humid conditions).
Same Game Parlay Spotlight
Correlate Tampa advantage with modest scoring.
- Leg 1: Buccaneers −6.5
- Leg 2: Under 45.5 (alt)
- Leg 3: Tampa RB anytime TD
Estimated payout: +425 to +525 depending on shop.
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How to Watch & Stream
Kickoff at 1:00 p.m. ET on FOX. Replays available via NFL+.
See more NFL odds and previews on our NFL homepage.
Jets’ pass rush vs. Tampa’s protection is the fulcrum. If a +7 appears, New York becomes more attractive; if the market leans to −7.5, consider alt spreads or live entry.
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