The Miami Dolphins head to Cleveland to face the Browns on Sunday when Week 17’s late slate begins at 3:05 PM ET on CBS. Can the Dolphins cover the 3.5-point spread as road favorites? Keep reading for our Dolphins vs. Browns betting prediction.
The Miami Dolphins are 7-8 straight up and 6-9 against the spread this year. Their best win came against San Francisco and their worst loss came against Tennessee.
The Cleveland Browns are 3-12 straight up and 4-11 against the spread this season. Their best win came against Baltimore and their worst loss came against Las Vegas.
Dolphins vs. Browns Matchup & Betting Odds
429 Miami Dolphins (-3.5) at 430 Cleveland Browns (+3.5); o/u 33.5
4:05 p.m. ET, Sunday, December 29, 2024
Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH
TV: CBS
Dolphins vs. Browns Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 74% of public bettors are currently backing the Dolphins when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Miami Dolphins Daily Fantasy Spin
Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (hip) has been downgraded to doubtful for Sunday’s game. He has a QBR of 59.5 in 11 games this season. Tyler Huntley is expected to start at QB for Miami this weekend.
Dolphins safety Jordan Poyer (knee/finger), wide receiver Dee Eskridge (knee), wide receiver Jaylen Waddle (knee), wide receiver Tyreek Hill (wrist), and offensive tackle Terron Armstead (knee) are all officially listed as questionable to play on Sunday.
Miami cornerback Kendall Fuller (knee), linebacker Anthony Walker Jr. (knee), long snapper Blake Ferguson (illness), and linebacker Bradley Chubb (knee) will all miss Sunday’s contest.
Cleveland Browns Daily Fantasy Spin
Browns backup quarterback Jameis Winston (shoulder) is questionable to play this weekend. Dorian Thompson-Robinson is expected to start at quarterback on Sunday, and Bailey Zappe would likely be the backup if Winston is unable to suit up.
Cleveland defensive end Ogbo Okoronkwo (knee), wide receiver Cedric Tillman (concussion), tight end David Njoku (knee), and defensive tackle Shelby Harris (elbow) have all been ruled out for Sunday’s home date with Miami.
Dolphins vs. Browns Betting Trends
Miami is 14-12 ATS after a win since the start of the 2022 season.
Miami is 19-17 ATS in conference games since the beginning of the 2022 season.
Cleveland is 15-20 ATS in conference games since the start of the 2022 season.
Cleveland is 6-11-1 ATS as an underdog since the beginning of last season.
Dolphins vs. Browns Betting Prediction:
Browns quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson is simply one of the worst signal callers in the NFL. DTR has a touchdown-pass-to-interception ratio of 0-5, a QBR of 18.0, and a completion percentage of 51.5% this season. Thompson-Robinson has taken 6 sacks this season on just 68 pass attempts, and he has a passer rating of 30.1 in 2024.
Cleveland’s goal might be to lose their last 2 games to improve their draft position. If so, then the Browns starting Dorian Thompson-Robinson at quarterback makes sense. I know it’s Tyler Huntley playing quarterback for the Dolphins instead of Tua Tagovailoa, but I still like Miami in this contest. I’m laying the points with the Dolphins in this one.