Dolphins vs. Broncos Week 11 Prediction
The Dolphins will look to pick up their sixth consecutive win on Sunday when they visit the Broncos at 4:05 p.m. ET. Will Miami accomplish the feat while covering as a small road favorite or is Denver the better value for bettors?
475 Miami Dolphins (-3) at 476 Denver Broncos (+3); o/u 45.5
Time: 4:05 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 22, 2020
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Miami Dolphins DFS Notes
Tua Tagovailoa completed 15-of-25 passes for 169 yards and two touchdowns in Week 10 against the Chargers. He ended up with negative rushing yards after kneeling out the game. Tagovailoa remained undefeated as the Dolphins’ starter, though Miami hid him behind a run-heavy gamescript in this one, rushing it 32 times. There should have been at least two interceptions for Tua that the Chargers dropped. It’s also the second time in three starts he failed to clear 200 yards. Still, this was another step forward for Tua, who was playing without Preston Williams. The Dolphins play the Broncos in Week 10.
Denver Broncos DFS Notes
9News’ Mike Klis reports Drew Lock (ribs) will start Week 11 against the Dolphins. Lock will be playing through pain and is at risk of an in-game setback. In addition to his rib injury, Lock is still not at 100% with his AC joint sprain from earlier in the season. With his inconsistent play, injuries, and Miami’s disguised man coverage defense, it’s possible that the Broncos have a forgettable offensive day on Sunday.
Dolphins vs. Broncos Prediction
The Dolphins are 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games versus the Broncos and have covered the spread in four straight games in Denver. MIami has also covered in four of its last five road games, is 16-5 against the number in its last 21 games overall and is 4-0 at the betting window in its last four games coming off a win. The Broncos, meanwhile, are just 8-20 against the spread in their last 28 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game while the home side is just 2-5 against the spread in the last seven meetings between these two teams.
NFL WEEK 11 BETTING PREDICTION: MIAMI DOLPHINS -3