AFC East rivals clash in Buffalo on Sunday when the Bills host the high-flying Dolphins at 1:00 p.m. ET. Will Miami stay unbeaten on the season or is Buffalo the play as a small home favorite? Check out odds, trends and our Dolphins vs. Bills prediction ahead.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
253 Miami Dolphins (+2.5) at 254 Buffalo Bills (-2.5); o/u 53.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, October 1, 2023
Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
Dolphins vs. Bills Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 52% of public bettors are currently backing the Bills when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Miami Dolphins DFS Spin
Jaylen Waddle (concussion) will be active for Week 4 against the Bills. Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel confirmed Waddle — who was sidelined in Week 3 with a brain injury — will return to Miami’s lineup against the Bills. Off to a slow start, Waddle is still seeing a solid chunk of the team’s targets and air yards and should post better numbers in the coming weeks. Waddle had 248 yards and a touchdown in two regular season games against Buffalo in 2022.
Buffalo Bills DFS Spin
ESPN’s Adam Schefter reports Bills EDGE Von Miller is expected to resume practicing this week. Miller tore his ACL on Thanksgiving last year and has been progressing well in his bid to return to game action. The first major step will be to return to the practice field, which it now appears likely to happen in the coming week. The late-season injury paired with his advanced playing age would make a Week 5 return to action truly remarkable.
Dolphins vs. Bills Betting Trends
The Dolphins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The Bills are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Buffalo is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Miami
Dolphins vs. Bills Prediction:
Take the under. I realize I’m recommending the under when the Dolphins just hung 70 points on the board last Sunday in a route of the Broncos. First of all, Buffalo isn’t Denver. Secondly, the Bills won’t allow Tyreek Hill to run around Orchard Park like he’s done to previous opponents this season. In efforts to keep that high-powered Miami offense off the field, I also expect Buffalo to continue to do what it’s done the previous two weeks: Run the ball. Today the Bills will be about ball control and that philosophy can be a killer for over bettors.
Dolphins vs. Bills NFL Prediction: UNDER 53.5