Titans vs. Colts Free Pick
INDIANAPOLIS, IN (The Spread) – Two teams looking to even up their records will battle today when the Colts hosts AFC South rival the Titans at 1:00PM ET.
TENNESSEE: The Titans fell to 1-2 on the year with a 33-7 loss to the Bengals last Sunday as a 6.5-point underdog. Tennessee has now failed to cover the spread in both of its last two games while the under is a perfect 3-0 on the season. They rank 16th offensively as Jake Locker has thrown for just 685 yards and Shonn Greene has rushed for 144 yards, while the defense surprisingly ranks fifth overall as Jurrell Casey has a team-high two sacks and Jason McCourty has two interceptions.
INDIANAPOLIS: After two narrow defeats in their first two games, the Colts rebounded last week on the road in Jacksonville with a 44-17 pounding of the Jaguars as 6-point road favorites. They’re now 1-2 on the year and 2-1 against the spread as the over is a perfect 3-0 in their three games this season. The offense ranks 3rd overall as Andrew Luck has thrown for 912 yards and Reggie Wayne leads the team with 188 yards receiving, while the defense ranks 29th overall, 28th in passing yards allowed and 17th in rushing yards allowed. With offensive and defensive splits like those, the over could be a nice play in Colts games all season.
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Colts are 7.5-point favorites over the Titans while the over/under total is currently sitting at 46 points. Indianapolis opened as 6-point favorites before the line was bet up, while the total opened at 46 and that’s where the number currently sits.
NFL FREE PICK: Take Indianapolis. According to latest NFL trends, the Titans are just 1-5 against the spread in their last six games in Indianapolis and 0-5 ATS in their last five games versus the Colts overall. The Titans are also 1-6-1 against the number in their last eight games overall, 3-13-2 ATS in their last 18 divisional games and 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games versus the AFC. The Colts, meanwhile, are 6-1 ATS in their last seven conference games, 13-3 ATS in their last 16 divisional games and 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games versus a team with a losing record.
2014 NFL WEEK 4 FREE PICK: INDIANAPOLIS COLTS -7.5
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