Packers vs. Bears Free Pick
CHICAGO, IL (The Spread) – Can the Packers avoid starting the season 1-3 when they visit the Bears today at 1:00PM ET?
GREEN BAY: The Packers lost their second game of the season last Sunday as they fell 19-7 to division rival Detroit. They’re now 1-2 straight up to start the season and just 0-2-1 against the spread in their three games. The over has hit in two of their three games as Aaron Rodgers has thrown for 697 yards. Jordy Nelson leads the team in receiving with 351 yards and Randall Cobb has a team-high three touchdowns on the season.
CHICAGO: Following a shocking 23-20 loss to the Bills in overtime at home in Week 1, the Bears have rebounded to post back-to-back wins on the road on national television. After coming from behind to beat the 49ers 28-20 in Week 2, they topped the Jets 27-19 on Monday night this past week. They’re now 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread as the over has also hit in two of their first three games. The lone under, however, did come at home in that Week 1 loss to the Bills. Jay Cutler leads the team with 750 yards passing while tight end Martellus Bennett has a team-high four touchdowns.
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Packers are 1.5-point road favorites over the Bears, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 50 points. The Bears opened as 1.5-point favorites but the spread has completely swung in the other direction in favor of the Packers, while the total has gone from 49 up to 50.
NFL FREE PICK: Take Green Bay. According to latest NFL trends, the Packers are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games versus the Bears and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 trips to Chicago. The road team is also 6-2 against the number in the last eight meetings between these two teams while the favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Chicago is just 3-12-1 against the spread in its last 16 home games, 1-8 ATS in its last nine games versus NFC North opponents and 1-6 ATS in its last seven games versus a team with a losing record. Even though the Packers have struggled to start the season the Bears have had a brutal travel schedule the last week weeks and are coming off a short week of preparation. Green Bay should get back on track today.
2014 NFL WEEK 4 FREE PICK: GREEN BAY PACKERS -1.5
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