Browns vs. Dolphins Free Pick
(The Spread) – The Browns will look to make it two in a row when they host the Dolphins at 1:00PM ET on Sunday.
NFL Odds: With their head coach Tony Sparano officially on the hot seat, oddsmakers has installed the visiting Miami Dolphins as 1.5-point road underdogs versus the host Cleveland Browns today. The over/under total for this game is currently sitting at 41 points.
Line Movement: The Browns opened as 3-point favorites but mid-week action on the Dolphins dropped the line to 2.5. While most online sports books list Cleveland as 1.5-point favorites, the Las Vegas Hilton currently has the Browns at –2.5. The over/under total is currently 41 after opening at that same number.
Public Betting: Of the 7,700-plus wagers on today’s game, 66% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Dolphins +1.5. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.
NFL Week 3 Free Pick: Take Cleveland. The Dolphins are a mess right now and the Browns’ defense has actually played well the first two weeks (although it’s not like they were facing good quarterbacks). According to latest NFL trends, the Browns are 9-3 against the spread in their last 12 games in Week 3 and 4-0 ATS in their last four games against the Dolphins. Miami, meanwhile, is 0-5 ATS in its last five games overall and 0-4 ATS in its last four games versus the AFC. Generally speaking, home field advantage nets a team three points. So with a bad Miami team coming to town, the Browns represent a little bit of value at –1.5.
2011 NFL WEEK 3 FREE PICK: CLEVELAND BROWNS –1.5
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