Browns vs. Steelers Free Pick
PITTSBURGH, PA (The Spread) – Will tonight’s Browns–Steelers game in Pittsburgh be low-scoring or will the combined score once again fly over the total?
ODDS: Oddsmakers have installed the Steelers as 14-point favorites over the Browns for tonight’s game, while the currently over/under total is sitting at 38.5 points. Cleveland enters the game with a 4-8 overall record and is 1-4 on the road this year, while Pittsburgh is 9-3 overall and 5-1 at home.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Steelers opened as an 11-point favorite but bettors started to pound the number and now Pittsburgh is up to -14 at most sports books. The over/under total, however, has dropped a little after opening at 39.5. While some books are offering the total at 39 ,most places are down to 38.5.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the 15,000-plus wagers on tonight’s game, 72% of NFL bettors currently favor the Steelers -14. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link provided to ensure that you’re getting the most up-to-the-minute NFL betting numbers.
FREE PICK: Take the under. According to latest NFL trends, the over is 7-1-1 in the last nine meetings between these two teams in Pittsburgh and 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings overall. But buck the trend. Colt McCoy and the Cleveland offense is already limited. Against the Steelers in Pittsburgh, the Browns are going to be even more limited in terms of generating points. We’ve seen the Steelers’ offense get into funks as well, most notably in their 13-9 win over the Chiefs on Sunday Night Football a couple of weeks back. If Ben Roethlisberger and the Pittsburgh offense isn’t firing on all cylinders, the total could easily fall under. Cleveland’s defense hasn’t played that poorly this season and seeing as how divisional games are usually tight, look for this one to stay low-scoring.
NFL WEEK 14 FREE PICK: BROWNS/STEELERS UNDER 38.5
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