Falcons vs. Bears Free Pick
(The Spread) – Two playoff teams from a year ago will clash in Chicago this Sunday when the Bears host the Falcons in Week 1.
Odds: Despite the fact that Chicago played in the NFC Championship Game last year, oddsmakers have installed the Bears as 1-point home underdogs versus the Falcons today at 1:00PM ET. The over/under total for this game is currently 40.5 points.
Line Movements: The Bears opened as 1-point favorites back in April but the line slowly dropped to even and then got as high as Atlanta -3 at one point. But the line is moving back in the direction of the Bears the closer we get to kickoff. The over/under total has stayed relatively steady after opening at 41.5 points.
Public Betting: Of the 30,000-plus wagers on Sunday’s game, 74% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Falcons -1. This information is subjected to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided to get the most up-to-date public betting numbers.
NFL Free Pick: Take the under. The offensive lines for both of these teams will be starting experienced players and thus, Jay Cutler and Matt Ryan may suffer because of it. Chicago’s defense isn’t what it used to be but it’s still damn good, while Atlanta’s D is up-and-coming. Thus, the scoring should be limited in this one despite the potential both of these offenses have. According to latest NFL trends, the under is 6-0 in the last six meetings between these two teams, and 62-30-2 in the Bears’ last 94 games as an underdog.
2011 NFL WEEK 1 FREE PICK: FALCONS/BEARS UNDER 40.5
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