Packers vs. Saints Free Pick
(The Spread) – The NFL season kicks off tonight with a matchup that pits the last two Super Bowl winners against each other.
Odds: Oddsmakers have made the Green Bay Packers 4.5-point favorites over the New Orleans Saints for Thursday night’s 8;30PM ET kickoff. The over/under total for tonight’s game is currently sitting at 47.5 points.
Line Movement: The line opened in Vegas as Green Bay –5 and it stayed steady there before it dropped to Packers –4.5. At most books the Saints are 4.5, while the over/under total is either 47.5 or 48.
Public Betting: Of the 38,547 wagers on tonight’s game, 54% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Packers –4.5. This information is subject to change before kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date public betting info.
NFL Week 1 Free Pick: Take the Packers. According to latest NFL trends, the favorite is 4-1 against the spread in the last five meetings between these two teams and Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last five games versus the NFC. The Pack are also 11-4 ATS in their last 15 September games and 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games overall. The Saints, meanwhile, are just 1-4 ATS in their last five road games and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall. While both of these teams are legit Super Bowl contenders, the Packers should open up their season as defending champs in grand fashion as Aaron Rodgers takes advantage of the suspect New Orleans’ linebackers in coverage.
2011 NFL WEEK 1 FREE PICK: GREEN BAY PACKERS –4.5
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