Bills vs. Chiefs Free Pick
(The Spread) – The Chiefs kick off their 2011 season at home against the Bills at 1:00PM ET on Sunday.
Odds: Oddsmakers have made Matt Cassel and the Chiefs 5.5-point favorites against Chan Gailey’s visiting Bills, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 39 points.
Line Movement: The Chiefs opened as 6.5-point favorites back in April and the line stayed steady until early this week when the line started to drop. Now the point spread sits at 5.5, while the over/under total has dropped from 43 points to 39.
Public Betting: Of the 17,000-plus wagers on Sunday’s game, 51% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Chiefs -5.5. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date public betting numbers.
NFL Free Pick: Take Buffalo. According to latest NFL trends, the Bills are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games against the Chiefs and 5-1 ATS in their last six road games versus Kansas City. The road team is also 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings between these two squads, while Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last six games in Week 1 and 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10 points. Meanwhile, the Chiefs are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite and 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. They’re also 1-7 ATS in their last eight games versus the AFC.
2011 NFL WEEK 1 FREE PICK: BUFFALO BILLS +5.5
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