Louisville vs. Florida State Total Pick
Will Louisville and Florida State struggle to put up enough points to push the score over the total on Saturday?
Who: Louisville (4-3) at Florida State (2-3)
When: 12:00PM ET, Saturday, October 21
Where: Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, Florida
Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the over/under now sits at 59 points after hitting the board at 55.5. As for the point spread, the Seminoles opened as a 7-point home favorite but the line has dropped slightly down to 6.5 at the majority of sportsbooks.
Who is the Public Backing?
The public is backing Florida State in this matchup, although not by much. Only 51% of public bettors are laying the 6.5 points with the Seminoles, which could be an indication of why the line dropped a half point. If there’s any sharp action on Louisville, we could see the line drop again before kickoff on Saturday.
Key Betting Trends:
The Cardinals are just 3-13-1 against the spread in their last 17 games overall. They’re also just 2-5-1 against the number in their last eight road games, are 1-8 at the betting window in their last nine games played in October, and are winless at 0-5 against the spread in their last five games following a loss. On the other side, the Seminoles are 0-2-2 against the spread in their last four games versus a team with a winning record and are 0-3-2 against the number in the last five games overall.
OUR PREDICTION: The under is 6-1-1 in the Cardinals’ last eight games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous contest. the under is also 22-10-2 in Louisville’s last 34 games coming off a loss. On the other side, the under is 5-0 in the Seminoles’ last five games overall, is 4-1 in their last five home games, and is 18-6 in their last 24 conference tilts.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 8 PICK: LOUISVILLE/FLORIDA STATE UNDER 59