TCU vs. Kansas State Prediction
TCU entered the playoff picture with Oklahoma’s loss last week but can the Horned Frogs stay unbeaten when they play Kansas State?
Who: TCU (5-0) at Kansas State (3-2)
When: 12:00PM ET, Saturday, October 14
Where: Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, KS
Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Horned Frogs are now 7-point road favorites versus the Wildcats, who opened as 4.5-point underdogs. As for the total, the number currently sits at 49.5 points after hitting the board at 53.5.
TCU Horned Frogs Betting Trends
The Horned Frogs have covered the spread in all four of their last four road games and are 4-1 against the number in their last five games coming off an ATS loss. That said, they’re just 5-13 against the number in their last 18 games overall, are 3-8 at the betting window in their last 11 conference games, and are 2-6 against the spread in their last eight games following a win.
Kansas State Wildcats Betting Trends
The Wildcats have covered the spread in 15 of their last 22 games following a loss and are 33-16-2 against the spread in their last 51 games played in October. They’re 6-2 at the betting window in their last eight games versus a team with a winning road record, too.
OUR PREDICTION: Kansas State has more problems right now than just at quarterback, where starter Jesse Ertz played parts of the game last Saturday versus Texas. Alex Delton came in and gave the Wildcats a spark on the ground (79 yards and two touchdowns on 12 carries), but he completed just 2-of-5 passes for 30 yards. If Bill Snyder has to go back and forth between Ertz and Delton, that could spell trouble versus Gary Patterson’s outstanding defense.
The other problem is Kansas State’s defense, which took a big step backwards against Texas. The Wildcats allowed 546 yards to an offense led by a freshman quarterback making his third college start. Following the game, some K-State defenders admitted that they were prepared for Texas QB Sam Ehlinger and his speed. That’s a bad sign for a defense that is about to face Kenny Hill and an offense that scored 131 points and nine touchdowns in its last three games.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 7 PICK: TCU HORNED FROGS -7