Air Force vs. Nevada Prediction
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, Air Force is favored on the road, as the Falcons are getting odds of -7 points against Nevada. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 66.5 points. The home team has won the last three in this series, but Air Force has covered in all three games. The public is currently putting 54 percent of the wagers on Air Force on the road. Tonight’s game takes place from Mackay Stadium in Reno, Nevada. The contest will air live on the CBS Sports Network.
Nevada is coming off a 44-42 loss at Colorado State to fall to 1-6 on the season and 1-2 in conference play. Nevada is 3-4 against the spread this season and 1-2 ATS at home. Nevada is struggling on defense, allowing 35.6 points and 495.1 yards per game, including 326.1 passing yards per contest. Offensively, Nevada is averaging 25.3 points and 392.1 yards per game. Ty Gangi has thrown for 1,435 yards and 14 touchdowns to lead the offense while McLane Mannix and Wyatt Demps have combined for 78 receptions, 1,087 yards and 12 touchdowns. Kelton Moore is the leading rusher with 442 yards.
Air Force is coming off a 34-30 win at home over UNLV last week to improve to 2-4 on the season and 1-2 in conference play. The Falcons are 3-3 against the spread this year and 2-1 ATS on the road. Air Force is putting up 36 points and 439.7 yards per game behind a ground attack that averages 306.7 yards per contest. Arion Worthman has run for 550 yards and 10 touchdowns while throwing for 725 yards and eight scores to lead the offense. Timothy McVey has added 380 rushing yards and five touchdowns. The Air Force defense is giving up 31.8 points and 383 yards per contest.
Air Force should be able to handle covering on the road tonight. The Falcons have a ground game that can dictate the pace of the game and keep Nevada off the field. Nevada doesn’t have a defense that can stop many teams, so I suspect it will struggle with the Air Force option offense. Air Force has covered in the last three meetings while Nevada is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven home games.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PREDICTION: AIR FORCE -7