Baylor vs. West Virginia Prediction
Will another West Virginia and Baylor game turn into a shootout when the two teams meet at 3:30PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Mountaineers are 17.5-point home favorites versus the Bears after opening as a 14.5-point favorite. As for the total, the number hit the board at 67 and has been bet up to 68.5 at the majority of sports books.
BAYLOR KEY TRENDS: The Bears haven’t covered a spread in their last five games and are also 0-6 against the spread in their last six road games. They’re winless at 0-4 against the spread in their last four games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game, are 1-6 at the betting window in their last seven games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game, and are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous contest.
WEST VIRGINIA KEY TRENDS: The Mountaineers are just 1-4 against the spread in their last five home games, are 6-21 against the number in their last 27 home games versus a team with a winning road record, and are 1-5 against the number in their last six games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. They’re also just 3-8-1 at the betting window in their last 12 games in December.
OUR PREDICTION: There is no value left in the spread, which jumped from 14.5 to 17.5. Baylor hasn’t covered a spread in five straight games, so the Bears seem due to win at the betting window, but I’m not ready to back a team that seemingly gave up weeks ago. So let’s take a look at the total. This is the fifth all-time meeting between the schools with all of them coming since West Virginia joined the Big 12 in 2012. The home team has won each game of the series and the winning team in the four games has averaged 61.5 points. The losing team, meanwhile, has averaged 42.5. Take the over, watch the points fly, and don’t worry about who covers.
CHAMPIONSHIP WEEK PREDICTION: BAYLOR/WEST VIRGINIA OVER 68.5