BCS National Championship Trends
NEW ORLEANS, LA (The Spread) – No. 1 LSU and No. 2 Alabama square off for the BCS National Championship tonight. Here is a look at the key Trends to this title game.
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Oddsmakers have made Alabama the favorite in this game, giving the Crimson Tide a point spread of -2 against the LSU Tigers. The over/under total for the championship game has been set at 40 points. (View Matchup)
Alabama went 11-1 this season and 8-4 against the spread. The Crimson Tide was 4-1 against the spread on the road and 1-0 ATS on turf. In terms of the over/under, Alabama split that over 12 games, hitting each six times. On the road, Bama hit the over in 3 of 5 games and they hit the over in their one game on turf.
LSU was 13-0 this season and 10-3 against the spread. The Tigers were 6-0 against the spread away from home and 4-0 ATS on turf. LSU had a slight tendency to hit the over this year with the Tigers hitting it 7 times while pushing one other time. LSU hit the over in 3 of 6 road games and in all four games that were played on turf.
Some trends to consider for Alabama are that the Tide have covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 games against conference opponents and in their last 4 games at a neutral site. LSU has covered in its last 7 games with conference opponents and in 5 of their last 6 bowl games. The Tigers have also covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games at a neutral site.
Focusing on the over/under, Alabama has hit the over in its last 5 bowl games and in its last 5 games at a neutral site. However, the Tide has hit the under in 14 of its last 17 games on turf. LSU has hit the over in its last 4 games at a neutral site. However, LSU has hit the under in 4 of its last 5 games as an underdog.
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