The Baltimore Ravens are a short road favorite against the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday afternoon, and the venue is why this line is hard to read. Both teams sit at 1-1. Both are playing in the NFL Rio Game at the Maracanã, where neither side gets a crowd or a sideline it knows. Baltimore now lays 3 points after opening at 2.5, and the total has climbed two full points. Below we break down the spread, the total, and one longer-priced angle.
Last Updated: Sunday, September 27, 2026
Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys — Time & How to Watch
| Where | Maracanã Stadium, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil |
| When | Sunday, September 27 – 4:25 PM ET |
| TV | CBS |
Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview
Both teams arrive at 1-1 after splits that looked nothing alike. Baltimore opened with a 41-23 win at Indianapolis, then lost 24-17 at home to New Orleans as a heavy favorite. Dallas went the other direction, dropping its opener 28-20 at the New York Giants before beating Washington 37-20. Scoring is not the problem for either club. Baltimore averages 29.0 points per game and Dallas 28.5, and both rank inside the league’s top 10.
Lamar Jackson has been the league’s most efficient passer through two weeks. He has thrown for 559 yards while averaging roughly 10 yards per attempt, which leads all qualified quarterbacks. Derrick Henry has carried 40 times for 212 yards and is tied for the league lead with four rushing touchdowns. Dallas has to solve that combination shorthanded. The Cowboys ruled out four defenders for this trip: linebacker DeMarvion Overshown, cornerback Cobie Durant, and safeties Malik Hooker and P.J. Locke.
Baltimore is not fully healthy either. Left tackle Ronnie Stanley is out with a toe injury. Receiver Zay Flowers is questionable with a hamstring problem after sitting out Week 2, per the team’s final injury report. Meanwhile Dak Prescott passed Tony Romo for the most touchdown passes in franchise history, throwing four against Washington. CeeDee Lamb already has three scores in two games. For more on that Dallas offense, see our Commanders vs. Cowboys prediction from September 20.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | -3 (-120) | -180 | O 53.5 (-105) |
| Cowboys | +3 (+100) | +155 | U 53.5 (-115) |
Odds accurate as of September 27, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NFL Odds – Futures – Props
Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Ravens | 48% | 52% | Cowboys |
See the latest NFL Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Ravens vs. Cowboys Prediction — Can a Road Favorite Cover in a Stadium Neither Team Owns?
Start with the market. Baltimore opened at 2.5 and now sits at 3 with juice attached. That is a full move through the most important number in football, and no injury news helped the Ravens get there. The health news cuts the other way, with Stanley out and Flowers a game-day question. The money has responded to Dallas’s absences and Jackson’s start.
The case for Baltimore is real. Dallas has been leaky against the run, and it has surrendered more rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks than any defense through two weeks. That is the wrong profile against Jackson. Remove three secondary starters and a starting linebacker, and the Cowboys are asking backups to handle Henry inside and Jackson on the perimeter. Baltimore also leads this series 6-1.
The case against is the price and the setting. There is no home team here in any real sense. Dallas is the designated host, but the Cowboys gave up a home date for this game, so the usual home-field allowance applies to neither side. Meanwhile Dallas has the healthier offense, averaging 28.5 points behind a quarterback with one interception all year. Baltimore also lost outright at home as a clear favorite last week, a reminder that this defense can be moved. Public money reflects the ambiguity, with the spread split nearly even at 52 percent on Dallas. Taking a field goal at even money on neutral ground is the disciplined side of a number that has already moved past its value.
The Pick: Cowboys +3 (+100)
Ravens vs. Cowboys Prediction — Will Two Top-10 Offenses Outrun a Rising Number?
The total opened at 51.5 and now sits at 53.5, and the scoring rates support the move. Add Baltimore’s 29.0 points per game to Dallas’s 28.5 and you get 57.5, clear of the current number. Both Dallas games have gone over. Prescott also has Lamb and George Pickens to attack a Baltimore secondary that allowed 24 points to New Orleans. Meanwhile Jackson’s yards-per-attempt mark means the Ravens do not need many snaps to score.
The honest counterargument is play volume. Baltimore wins by running, and Henry’s 40 carries point to an offense built to shorten games rather than trade scores. The Ravens have also been stout against the run, which could strand Dallas in obvious passing situations. If Flowers sits again, Baltimore’s passing ceiling drops with him. Still, both offenses would have to stall for this number to hold, and neither has stalled yet.
The Pick: Over 53.5 (-105)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
This is a game between two flawed 1-1 teams with good quarterbacks and shaky defenses, played where neither has an advantage. That argues for points and a close finish rather than the better roster imposing its will. Baltimore is more talented and could win by two scores if Henry rolls early. The Dallas route runs through tempo and Prescott’s accuracy against a thinned-out secondary.
For a longer-priced angle, the Dallas moneyline at +155 is the same opinion as the spread pick at a better price. This is not a second independent edge. It is correlated, so size it smaller than the side. The appeal is the math: +155 implies roughly a 39 percent chance of a Dallas win, which reads low for a neutral-site game between teams with identical records.
Bonus Pick: Cowboys Moneyline +155
All picks for this game: Cowboys +3 (+100), Over 53.5 (-105), and Cowboys Moneyline +155 at reduced stakes.
NFL Ravens vs. Cowboys FAQ: Sunday September 27, 2026
What time does the Ravens vs. Cowboys game start?
Kickoff is 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday, September 27, 2026. The game sits in the late-afternoon national window on the Week 3 schedule, and because it is being played in Brazil, the local start time in Rio de Janeiro is 5:25 p.m. Coverage begins shortly beforehand.
What channel is the Ravens vs. Cowboys game on?
CBS has the national television broadcast of the NFL Rio Game. The matchup also streams on Paramount+ for subscribers, which is the simplest option for viewers without a cable package or an antenna signal. Check local listings, because the late-afternoon window is not carried in every market.
Where are the Ravens and Cowboys playing?
The game is at Maracanã Stadium in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Dallas is the designated home team, which means the Cowboys gave up one of their home dates to make the trip. In practice the venue is neutral ground, and neither club gets a familiar crowd or sideline.
Who won the last meeting between the Ravens and Cowboys?
Baltimore won the most recent meeting 28-25 on September 22, 2024, in Arlington. Derrick Henry carried the Ravens that afternoon with 151 rushing yards and two touchdowns, and Dallas fell short on a late rally. Baltimore leads the all-time series 6-1.
Who is starting at quarterback for the Ravens and Cowboys?
Lamar Jackson starts for Baltimore and Dak Prescott starts for Dallas. Jackson leads all quarterbacks in yards per attempt through two weeks. Prescott set the Cowboys’ franchise record for career touchdown passes in the Week 2 win over Washington.