2010 Sugar Bowl Cincinnati vs. Florida Picks & Predictions

Last Updated on January 1, 2010 3:00 pm by drew

Sugar Bowl Pick

Two teams with some coaching turmoil will meet Friday at 8PM ET in the 2010 Sugar Bowl from the Superdome as
Florida faces

Cincinnati.

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Florida is 12-1 on the year and 6-6 against the spread. The Gators won 12-straight to open the year and then lost the SEC Championship to

Alabama. In the last week coach Urban Meyer has announced he will take a leave of absence from the Gators after the bowl game for health reasons.

Cincinnati is 12-0 this season and 7-5 against the spread. The Bearcats lost their head coach, Brian Kelly, to Notre Dame. Their current coach, Butch Jones, left Central Michigan to coach

Cincinnati, but will be watching from the stands on Friday. Friday’s bowl game coach, Jeff Quinn, has already taken the head coaching job at

Buffalo, and will leave to coach the Bulls following the bowl game.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.com have made
Florida 12.5-point favorites over

Cincinnati on Friday night. The over/under total for this game has been established at 57.

Florida is scoring 34.7 points per-game and racking up 442.4 yards per-game on offense this year. Tim Tebow has thrown for 2,413 yards and 18 touchdowns while rushing for 859 yards and 13 scores in 2009.

Cincinnati is giving up just 20.8 points and 350.3 yards per-game on defense.

Cincinnati is scoring 39.8 points per-game and racking up 464.3 yards per-game on offense. The Bearcats have one of the top passing attacks in the country behind the combined play of Tony Pike and Zach Collaros. Pike has been the primary starter, throwing for 2,350 yards and 26 touchdowns, but Collaros has thrown for 1,434 yards and 10 scores while rushing for 344 yards and four scores in a few starts. The Gators are giving up just 11.5 points and 252 yards per-game on defense.

This game should be interesting as
Alabama provided a blueprint of how to beat the Gators, and the

Cincinnati offense has much more fire power and explosiveness than the Tide. The key will be for
Cincinnati to be able to stop the

Florida offense, which has struggled at times.

Cincinnati doesn’t have a really strong defense, but the Bearcats have been able to force turnovers. With all of the storylines, people are forgetting how angry
Cincinnati player are at Brian Kelly and how that anger can be used as motivation to prove that Kelly wasn’t the only reason for

Cincinnati’s success.

Florida also has motivation to play well for Meyer and Tebow in their final games for the foreseeable future. Trends do not favor

Florida this year as they are .500 against the spread, so we suggest taking the Bearcats with the points.

Our Sugar Bowl Free Pick for this matchup is:

Cincinnati +12.5 and UNDER 57.
College Football Bowl Season Betting Trends


FLORIDA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

FLORIDA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

FLORIDA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

FLORIDA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Florida is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games

Florida is 22-1 SU in its last 23 games

Bowl Season College Football Injury Report


CINCINNATI

No significant injuries.

FLORIDA

[TE] 09/14/2009 – Desmond Parks out for season ( Undisclosed ) 

[WR] 09/08/2009 – Andre DeBose out for season ( Hamstring ) 

[WR] 11/09/2009 – Carl Moore out indefinitely ( Back ) 

[LB] 11/10/2009 – Brendan Beal out indefinitely ( Neck ) 

[FS] 09/08/2009 – Dorian Munroe out for season ( Knee ) 

[OL] 10/07/2009 – Matt Patchan out for season ( Knee ) 

[CB] 10/29/2009 – Moses Jenkins out indefinitely ( Concussion ) 

[LB] 12/06/2009 – AJ Jones is "?" vs

Cincinnati in the Sugar Bowl ( Knee ) 

[DE] 12/18/2009 – Carlos Dunlap is upgraded to probable vs

Cincinnati in the Sugar Bowl ( Suspension Served ) 

[KR/WR] 12/21/2009 – Brandon James expected to miss Friday vs. Cincinnati U in the Sugar Bowl ( Foot ) 
Sugar Bowl Odds
Cincinnati Bearcats +12.5 Over 57 (+360)

Florida Gators -12.5 Under 57 (-525)
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Posted: 1/1/10 4:00PM ET