Texas vs. Florida Prediction: Can Longhorns keep it close?

Kentucky vs. Texas Kentucky vs. Texas

Unranked Texas heads to Gainesville to face #5 Florida on Saturday afternoon. The game is at 4:00 PM ET on ESPN2. Can Florida cover the 11-point spread as home favorites? Keep reading for our Texas vs. Florida prediction.

The Texas Longhorns are 12-5 straight up in the regular season this year. They are 10-7 ATS this season.

The Florida Gators are 15-2 straight up in the regular season this year. They are 12-5 ATS this season.

Texas vs. Florida Matchup & Betting Odds

705 Texas Longhorns (+11) at 706 Florida Gators (-11); o/u 152.5

4:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, January 18, 2025

Stephen C. O’Connell Center, Gainesville, FL

TV: ESPN2

Texas vs. Florida Public Betting Information

Our CBB Public Betting Information page indicates that 65% of public bettors are currently backing Florida when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.

Texas Longhorns Game Notes

Longhorns guard Chendall Weaver is questionable to play on Saturday due to a hip injury. Weaver is averaging 6.7 points and 5.1 rebounds per game in 21.0 minutes per contest this season. He’s shooting 51.4% from the floor on 4.8 shot attempts per game in 2024-25.

Texas guard Jordan Pope was spectacular in his team’s 77-73 win over Oklahoma on Wednesday. The Oregon State transfer put up 27 points, 2 rebounds, 4 steals, and 3 made three-pointers in 36 minutes. Pope is third on the team in scoring with 13.3 points per game this year.

Florida Gators Game Notes

Gators center Rueben Chinyelu posted a double-double in his team’s 83-82 loss to Missouri on Tuesday. The sophomore from Enugu, Nigeria recorded 11 points, 10 rebounds, an assist, and 2 blocks in 26 minutes. Chinyelu shot 4 of 5 from the field and 3 of 5 from the foul line in the loss.

Florida guard Walter Clayton Jr. was exceptional in his team’s game on Tuesday. The Iona transfer logged 28 points, 5 rebounds, 3 steals, and 3 made three-pointers. Clayton leads the team in scoring with 17.8 points per game on the campaign.

Texas is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

The Longhorns are 3-1 ATS as an underdog this season.

Florida is 11-12 ATS as a home favorite since the start of last season.

Florida is 31-33 ATS in conference games since the beginning of the 2021 season.

Texas vs. Florida CBB Prediction:

Texas has quietly put together a nice run against the spread over the past month and a half. In their last 10 games overall, the Longhorns are 7-3 ATS. What’s more, Texas is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall. The Longhorns were underdogs in each of those 3 contests. They’ll be an underdog again on Saturday.

A few other numbers bolster the case for the Longhorns in this matchup. Texas last played on Wednesday, while Florida last played on Thursday. When playing with the rest disadvantage this season, the Longhorns are 2-1 ATS. Furthermore, Texas is 3-1 ATS in conference games and 6-5 ATS after a win this season. The Longhorns recently lost outright to both Auburn and Tennessee while covering the spread in both games. I could definitely see a similar result in this contest. I’m taking Texas and the points on the road in Gainesville on Saturday.

Texas vs. Florida CBB Prediction: TEXAS LONGHORNS +11

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