North Carolina vs. Duke Prediction: Can Blue Devils Defend Home Court?

Cal vs. Duke Cal vs. Duke

The North Carolina Tar Heels and the Duke Blue Devils are set for battle on Saturday night. The Tar Heels have struggled this season, losing 3 of their last 4 games and sitting with a 13-9 record. On the other side, the Blue Devils have been dominant, entering Saturday with an 18-2 record and a #2 spot in the rankings. They are currently 13.5 point home favorites with this North Carolina vs. Duke matchup set to tip off at 6:30 p.m. ET. 

Game Matchup & Betting Odds

North Carolina Tar Heels (+13.5) at Duke Blue Devils (-13.5) o/u 149.5

6:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, February 1, 2025

Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, NC

TV: ESPN

Public Betting: Public Bettors Leaning Blue Devils

As of this writing, our CBB Public Betting page shows that 56% of bets are on Duke. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.

North Carolina Tar Heels

The Tar Heels have struggled lately, losing 3 of their last 4 games, with the latest being a 73-65 loss to Pittsburgh. RJ Davis led the way in scoring with 16 points. Seth Trimble finished with 10 points and 12 rebounds. He was 3-14 from the field and 0-5 from three point land. UNC made just 7 of their 24 3 point attempts and only attempted 9 free throws all game, making 6 of them. 

Duke Blue Devils

The Blue Devils continued their dominant season with a win over NC State 74-64 last Monday night. Star freshman Cooper Flagg led the team with 28 points on 8 of 17 shooting from the field and added 7 rebounds. Kon Knueppel finished with 19 points and 6 rebounds. Duke struggled from 3 in this one, making 4 of 20 attempts. 

UNC is 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games 

The UNDER is 8-2 in UNC’s last 10 games

Duke is 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games

The OVER is 3-2 in Duke’s last 5 games

North Carolina vs. Duke Prediction:

UNC has won and covered in 6 of the last 10 matchups between these two rivals, including 2-0 last season. However this season will be different. The Blue Devils are on a 14 game win streak and are showing no signs of slowing down. Duke has the 3rd ranked defense in the country allowing just 59.6 points per game and 56.8 at home this season. In the last 12 games, only Notre Dame has scored over 65 points on the Blue Devils defense. On the opposite side, North Carolina ranks 268th in opponent points per game and allow 79.3 points on the road this season. Duke is averaging 80 points per game this season and won’t be slowed down in this one. These two teams are heading in opposite directions, with UNC dropping 3 of their last 4 games. I think Duke dominates their rival on their home court on Saturday night.                

North Carolina vs. Duke Prediction: Duke -13.5

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